The trend is not as mysterious as you think

Many people, when they hear "trend",
immediately think of four words:
Profound and unfathomable.

What trend lines, waves, cycles, structures,
are drawn like a Feng Shui compass,
but once you enter the market,
you still get kicked out with a single kick.

But to be honest:
Trends are not mysterious at all.

---

1. Trends are not predictions, they are results

The most common mistake beginners make:
Wanting to know in advance whether the trend will come.

Experienced traders do the exact opposite:
👉 Wait until the trend has already started,
👉 then consider whether to follow.

A trend is not something you calculate,
it’s something the market creates.

---

2. What is a trend? One sentence is enough

No need for textbook versions.

A trend is:

> During pullbacks, the decline isn’t deep,
> During rallies, it pushes forward.

It’s that simple.

A rise followed by a crash — no trend

A dip followed by a rebound — no trend either

Whether it can continue,
can be seen at a glance.

---

3. Why do most people always "see the right trend but can't make money"

Because you’re looking at the direction,
the market plays with rhythm.

The three most common ways to die in a trend:

1️⃣ Doubting life at the first pullback
2️⃣ Chasing at the end of the trend
3️⃣ Using choppy positions to resist trend fluctuations

Trends don’t kill people,
wrong position management does.

---

4. Trends are most afraid of you being "too smart"

The most dangerous phrase in the market is:

> "It’s already risen too much."

Before a trend truly ends,
there’s always someone thinking it’s expensive.

The more you try to catch the top,
the easier you are to be rubbed by the trend repeatedly.

In trends,
less judgment, more obedience.

---

5. Trends and oscillations are not the same gameplay

Many people lose money,
not because they are wrong about the direction,
but because they use the wrong tactics.

Trending market → Less trading, brave to hold

Oscillating market → Quick in and out, don’t cling to battles

Using oscillation mindset for trends,
you’ll feel like “why do I always sell too early”.

---

6. In the crypto world, trends only recognize two things

Don’t overcomplicate,
just look at these two:

Has the price structure been broken?

Is the volume cooperating?

As long as these two points remain,
the trend is not dead.

As for news, good signals, analyst opinions,
just listen,
don’t treat them as the steering wheel.

---

7. The "trend" of copycats deserves quotation marks

The captain needs to pour some cold water here.

Copycat trends,
many times are not real trends,
but a hype process.

So for copycats:

Trend ≠ Long-term holding

Continuation ≠ Safety

Make money and run,
that’s the greatest respect for the trend.

---

8. Captain’s trend mindset (no pretenses)

Remember these three sentences:

When the trend comes, don’t rush to prove you’re smart

The trend isn’t bad, don’t rush to conclude

When the trend ends, admit defeat and walk away

This is more important than any indicator.

---

Captain’s closing words

> Trends don’t need you to understand,
> just don’t go against them.

---

Above all,
purely the captain’s personal bias.

This does not constitute any investment advice.

People who understand trends,
may not always make the most money,
but they often lose the slowest.

Feel free to criticize,
feel free to argue,
old hands are waiting for you on the deck.

— Captain ⚓