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#比特币周期规律 Has VanEck's latest analysis been reviewed? 2026 might be a consolidation year for BTC, with a limited decline of about 40% 🔥
Key data is here: the previous cycle saw an 80% drop, and this volatility has already been halved, indicating that the bottom consensus is strengthening. Currently, 35% of the decline has been digested, leaving room for upward movement. The four-year cycle pattern still holds, and the top-after-US-election pattern remains unchanged; 2026 indeed won't see a surge or a complete crash.
What does this mean? Dollar-cost averaging is king! Build positions gradually with 1-3% allocations, buy confidently during margin liquidations, and reduce positions when hype is excessive—it's that simple. Although on-chain activity hasn't fully picked up yet, signs of improvement are already emerging.
Rather than betting on explosive rallies, it's better to adopt a steady approach, waiting for the 2027 cycle to truly kick off before expecting meme coin explosions 🚀. This is still a golden window for accumulating chips.