#美国民主党BlueVault The Greenland acquisition controversy sparks trade confrontation, and Bitcoin enters a safe-haven rally—this geopolitical shock in early 2026 is causing waves in the financial markets.$BTC

This is truly a black swan event. The clash between the Trump administration and Europe over Greenland has pushed global capital markets to the brink of alert.$ETH

To avoid blind guesses in the upcoming market, let's clarify the current situation:

**The Trade War Has Begun**

On the US side: The Trump administration officially announced a 10% import tariff on eight European countries, including Denmark, France, Germany, and the UK. More aggressive threats have also been issued—doubling to 25% in June, until the US completes the Greenland purchase.

European retaliation: The EU is in urgent negotiations, holding a powerful card—a retaliatory tariff plan worth approximately $108 billion (about €93 billion), targeting US goods.

Time is tight: If negotiations at Davos this week collapse, the trade war will officially start in early February.

**Why Bitcoin Moves with the Market**

The logic is straightforward: large-scale international trade conflicts usually mean a decline in market risk appetite. Funds will flow out of stocks and growth assets—high-risk items—and into safe-haven assets like gold and the US dollar. Bitcoin will also feel short-term pressure.

But here’s the interesting part—$90,000 has now become a key psychological threshold. If Bitcoin can hold above this level, or rebound quickly after a dip, it indicates that large capital demand remains solid and political risks haven't scared away investors.

**Longer-term Logic**

History repeatedly shows that when geopolitical conflicts and trade wars erupt, central banks tend to adopt expansionary policies—cutting interest rates, easing liquidity, and injecting funds—to stabilize the economy. In such an environment, Bitcoin, as "digital gold" with a fixed supply, often gains long-term favor—especially when confidence in traditional financial systems is shaken by sanctions and mutual restrictions.

In other words: short-term focus on the pattern, medium-term on tariffs, long-term on liquidity.