Bitcoin could reach the $102,000 mark under favorable macroeconomic conditions

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Cryptocurrency market analysts expect that in the coming years, the price of bitcoin will significantly change under the influence of several key factors. According to industry experts’ forecasts, with stable institutional activity and an improving macroeconomic situation, by 2026, the digital asset could rise to the 102,000-dollar mark — an increase of approximately 15% from the current level of around 90,000 dollars. The latest data shows that the current bitcoin price is $92.87K.

Macroeconomic Signals and Monetary Policy

Easing inflation rates will play a key role in this scenario. A reduction in labor costs indicates price stabilization in the economy, which could prompt the US Federal Reserve to further lower interest rates throughout 2026. Such conditions traditionally promote the growth of risk assets, including cryptocurrency securities.

It should be noted that bitcoin is currently in a correction phase, having retreated about 30% from its peak value of 126 thousand dollars, recorded in October 2025.

Institutional Activity and ETF Volumes

The spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) market for bitcoin shows conflicting dynamics. According to analytical platforms, on Thursday, investors made a net outflow of funds from spot ETFs totaling over 400 million dollars. At the same time, the portfolio of American spot ETFs continues to grow.

Currently, 14 American spot ETFs control assets with a total value of over 100 billion dollars. Among them, the iShares Bitcoin Trust from BlackRock leads with managed assets of 67 billion dollars, confirming this fund’s dominant position in the market.

New Developments in the Sector

The development of institutional product markets continues. According to official documents from the regulatory authority, Morgan Stanley is preparing to launch a new ETF that will include bitcoin and other cryptocurrency assets in its portfolio. This expansion of offerings indicates growing interest from major financial institutions in digital assets.

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