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【January 19 Crisis Review and Gold Window Projection】

Battle Puzzle Master: Eudora Qi

【Five Major Battlefields Report】

1. Macro Side: Under the shadow of tariffs and macro shocks from Europe and America, the crypto market suddenly crashed on Monday.
2. Core Position: ETH lost the $3,200 level; SOL temporarily fell below the $130 critical point.
3. Troop Morale: The panic index has returned to the “panic zone.”
4. Command Level Variables: The US Federal Reserve Chair candidate suddenly changed; dovish Haskett may be out, Wosh emerges as a dark horse.
5. Preview of the Decisive Week: Key PCE inflation data and the Bank of Japan decision this week may lead the market to choose a direction.

【Three-layer Battle Decoding】

1. Triggers and Catalysts: Triggered jointly by “tariff shocks” (external sentiment amplifiers) and “sudden change in Fed Chair candidate” (the cornerstone affecting liquidity expectations for the next 1-2 years).
2. Market Response and Defense Lines: ETH and SOL both suffered heavy losses; the panic index entered a “crossroads.” This reflects systemic selling pressure and emotional mapping.
3. Future Winning Points: This week’s “PCE data” will be the ultimate judgment, determining whether current panic is an “overreaction” or “rational risk aversion.”

【Crisis Qualitative Analysis】

This is not merely a technical correction but a chain reaction caused by “deterioration of long-term liquidity expectations” as the internal cause, combined with short-term macro negative catalysts, leading to key positions being lost and market sentiment collapsing.

【Two-step Rational Response】

1. Acknowledge reality and enter observation mode:
* Before ETH recovers above $3,200, SOL above $130, and the panic index leaves the “panic zone,” suspend all bottom-fishing plans.
* Use the above prices and sentiment indicators as core observation anchors.
2. Prepare two scripts for “Judgment Day”:
* Script 1 (Mild PCE, panic disproved): Market may rebound violently. Focus on chasing the first movers that lead the rally and quickly regain key positions (such as ETH, SOL), avoid weak coins.
* Script 2 (Hot PCE, panic confirmed): Trend established. Continue observing, wait for more extreme panic signals (such as “extreme fear” index), and look for better opportunities.

Core: In the midst of trend-uncertain panic, survival first, wait for signals.

【Interaction and Verification】

* Quick question on battle logic: Question: Among today’s six battlefields, which one most fundamentally damages the market’s long-term valuation foundation?

A. ETH drops below $3,200

B. Sudden change in Fed Chair candidate, dovish Haskett may be out

C. Panic index returns to panic zone

* Replay note secondary creative award: Follow me, deeply review any “battlefield,” post it to Gate Dynamics with the #危机复盘与推演 topic, and @me to participate in the lottery.

I am Chief Strategist Eudora Qi.

I do not predict bottom prices, only seek top cognition and opportunities.

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Navigate crises, capture opportunities. In 2026, may we become definitive builders.