【BTC One-Hour Analysis: Rebound Faces Resistance, Returns to Lower End of Range】#周末行情分析

Bitcoin price, after attempting a rebound, failed to effectively break through the upper moving average resistance and has now fallen back to the 95,000-95,100 region. The price has broken below the short-term key moving average MA20 and is below MA5-MA10, indicating a short-term structural weakening and signs of testing the 94,800 core support area again.

Current Key Technical Situation:

1. Moving Average Resistance: MA20, MA30, and MA50 are forming a clear bearish alignment around the 95,250-95,300 region, creating a barrier that short-term rebounds struggle to surpass. MA5 and MA10 have also shifted from support to near-term resistance.
2. Deteriorating Momentum: The MACD indicator shows DIF and DEA diverging downward below the zero line, with the green momentum bars (MACD: -15.6) expanding, indicating increasing bearish momentum and a risk of continued decline.
3. Structural Reassessment: The price failing to hold above 95,300 suggests that the previous optimistic expectation of moving higher within the range has invalidated. The market has reverted to a broader range of 94,800 as the lower boundary and 95,600 as the upper boundary, currently in the lower-mid section of the range with weak momentum.
4. Volume: During the rebound, trading volume (Vol) failed to increase significantly, directly reflecting weak rebound strength. Currently, volume remains subdued, indicating strong market caution.

· Cautious Strategy: Until the price effectively breaks below 94,800 or strongly surpasses 95,300, the market may remain weak with sideways or slight downward movement. When the trend is unclear, staying in cash and observing is an effective way to protect capital.

Summary: BTC's rebound has failed, and short-term technical conditions are worsening. 94,800 is a critical line determining short-term bullish or bearish direction. If broken convincingly, a new downward space could open. Before clear signals emerge, maintain a defensive stance in trading, prioritizing shorting opportunities near resistance levels during rebounds.
Subscribers can receive real-time short entry alerts and a series of hedging and chasing strategies after the 94,800 breakdown.
This analysis is for market opinion sharing only and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency volatility is extremely high; please manage risks carefully and make independent decisions.