【ETH Breakout Analysis: Focus on Resistance Zone and Rebound Confirmation】

#周末行情分析
Ethereum price has experienced a prolonged period of narrow consolidation and is now showing signs of upward movement. The current price (3,311.65) has broken above the short-term moving average cluster and is testing a key resistance area. The MA100 (3,313.51) and the previous high point of the consolidation range (around 3,320-3,330) form the current major resistance zone.

Technical Structure Evolution:

1. Breakout and Resistance: The price has clearly moved away from the previous dense trading zone of 3,295-3,310, breaking through multiple short-term moving averages such as MA20 (3,308.84). The challenge now is whether it can effectively overcome the MA100 and the previous high pressure zone at 3,320-3,330. This is critical for determining whether the rebound will upgrade to a trend reversal.
2. Momentum and Volume: The MACD indicator shows that DIF (2.58) and DEA (2.87) are tightly aligned above the zero line, with a very small red momentum histogram (MACD: -0.29), indicating a pause in upward momentum and signs of high-level fatigue. Fresh buying strength is needed to open up space. Volume (Vol) has increased but it remains to be seen whether this can be sustained.
3. Moving Average Arrangement: Short-term moving averages (MA5-MA20) are beginning to turn upward and form support, but MA50 (3,299.40) remains below the price at some distance. The medium- and long-term moving averages have not yet formed a bullish alignment, so the current move can only be regarded as a strong rebound or a range-bound upward shift.
4. Market Sentiment: RSI has risen to 54.63, entering a neutral to slightly bullish zone, with no overbought pressure for now, leaving room for further upward movement.

Operational Strategy and Key Levels:
Currently, it is not advisable to chase the high. Strategies should focus on “breakout and retest confirmation” or “reversal at resistance.”

Summary: ETH has exited the consolidation zone, and the short-term structure has turned stronger. However, it faces strong resistance zones above, making continuous upward rally less likely. The more probable scenario is a pullback after a rally or a sideways digestion of pressure. Traders should avoid blindly chasing gains near resistance levels and patiently wait for more ideal entry points or clear breakout confirmation signals.

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The above analysis is for market opinion sharing only and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency volatility is extremely high; please ensure proper risk management and independent decision-making.