【ETH Multi-Cycle Comprehensive Analysis: Final Arrangement, Focus on Breakthrough】

#周末行情分析
Ethereum's current price is 3316, and the market is at a critical juncture. Combining 15-minute and 1-hour charts, the technical signals are clear: short-term volatility is compressed to the extreme, the medium-term trend structure remains intact, and the price is about to choose a short-term direction.

The current core state: Strong consolidation in an uptrend.

· Structure: The price has formed a narrow consolidation platform below the 3327 high point. All moving averages on the 15-minute chart are tightly clustered in the 3304-3312 range, with volatility dropping to very low levels, a typical “accumulation phase.”
· Momentum: The 15-minute MACD has a golden cross near the zero line, but the momentum bars are weak, indicating a temporary balance between bulls and bears. The 1-hour MACD remains above the zero line, confirming that the medium-term trend remains bullish.
· Position: The price is stably above the 1-hour moving average system, supporting the continuation of the upward movement. However, the short-term faces a direct test at the previous high of 3328.

Key levels and long/short boundaries:

· Bullish lifeline: 3305-3310. This is the lower boundary of the consolidation platform and a dense area of moving averages, crucial not to lose. A volume-supported breakdown would break the strong short-term structure.
· Bearish defense line: 3327-3328. This is the recent clear resistance at the previous high. A volume-supported breakthrough and stabilization above this level would end the consolidation and open up upside space.
· Upper target: After breaking 3328, the primary target is around 3345-3350.
· Downside risk: Falling below 3310, support shifts down to the 3294-3300 range.

Key points:
The current market is accumulating energy in “silence,” and volatility could expand at any moment. The key is volume; any breakout in either direction must be confirmed by increased trading volume, otherwise it may be a false breakout. Before the direction is clear, maintain patience, prioritize a “dip to buy” strategy, and avoid chasing highs or selling lows in low-volume oscillations.

(Specific entry prices, dynamic stop-loss tracking, and position management details have been synchronized into the subscription content.)