January 18, 2026 $AXS 4-hour level is in a high-level oscillation/consolidation phase within an uptrend

Based on AXS 4-hour candlestick data, we can clearly see a reversal after a deep decline, evolving into a strong upward trend. The entire data cycle can be divided into three stages:

1. Consolidation and Bottoming Phase: Price repeatedly oscillates within the 0.90-0.97 range, with relatively low trading volume. Technical indicators show the market is in a weak equilibrium: RSI hovers around the mid-50s, MACD remains below zero but the histogram bars are gradually converging, indicating diminishing downward momentum. StochRSI repeatedly hits oversold areas, laying the groundwork for a subsequent rebound.

2. Trend Initiation and Main Surge Phase: This is the key turning point of the market.
Price and Volume: Price begins to surge with increased volume from 0.969, accompanied by massive trading volume (from millions to tens of millions), a typical sign of capital inflow and trend acceleration. Price skyrocketed to a high of 2.260.
Technical indicators turn strongly bullish:
EMA: The fast line remains above the slow line, with the gap widening, forming a classic bullish alignment.
MACD: DIF and DEA continue to rise above zero, with increasing histogram bars, showing very strong upward momentum.
RSI: Enters the overbought zone above 70 and remains there for a long time, which in a strong trend is normal rather than a simple reversal signal.
StochRSI: Multiple hits at 100, indicating the market is in an extremely strong state.

3. High-level Oscillation and Pullback Phase: After reaching the 2.260 high, the price pulls back to a low of 1.788 but is quickly supported by buying. Trading volume remains huge, indicating increased divergence between bulls and bears. Price oscillates widely between 1.884 and 2.207.

Current Trend Judgment
Currently in the 【High-level oscillation/consolidation within an uptrend】 phase.

Core basis:
1. Overall structure: Price started from the bottom around 0.90, with a maximum increase of over 150%. Major moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, defining the overall background as an uptrend.
2. Latest position: After pulling back from the high of 2.260, the price has not broken below key support levels (such as 1.788), currently closing at 2.070, still well above all EMA lines (fast EMA 1.667, slow EMA 1.433).
3. Momentum change: Although MACD histogram has retreated from its peak, DIF and DEA are still running high above zero. RSI has fallen from the overbought zone (88.94) to 76.99, indicating a healthy cooling rather than a weakness.
4. Market behavior: During the pullback, trading volume remains large, showing strong absorption capacity. The trend has not ended but entered a phase of turnover and profit-taking digestion.

Key Level Analysis

Key Support Levels:
- Strong Support 1: 1.788 - 1.870 area. This is the recent lowest point during the pullback and a major area of turnover. Falling below this could mean a significant change in the upward trend, entering a deeper correction.
- Strong Support 2: 1.382 - 1.433 area. This is the trend’s lifeline. If the price pulls back to this level and is supported, it indicates trend continuation.
- Dynamic Support: 1.667. As the most recent dynamic support, it is a critical level for short-term strength assessment.

Key Resistance Levels:
- Recent Resistance: 2.179 - 2.207 area. Breaking through this confirms the end of the pullback, with potential to challenge previous highs.
- Historical High/Target Resistance: 2.260. This is the peak of this rally, an important psychological and technical resistance.
- Upper Target: If the price can effectively break through 2.260, based on measured amplitude, the next target could be around 2.60-2.70.

Operational Suggestions

Currently, after a fierce rally, AXS/USDT is undergoing high-level consolidation. The overall upward trend structure remains intact, but short-term digestion of gains and profit-taking is needed.

1. For Bulls: Consider 1.788 as a trend defense level. As long as the price stays above this, the upward trend remains valid. Ideal entry or adding positions is around the 1.870-1.950 support zone, or wait for a volume breakout above 2.207 resistance.
2. For Bears: Shorting before a clear break below 1.788 carries high risk. More conservative short opportunities require waiting for a clear trend weakening signal, such as a price drop below 1.788 followed by a failure to rebound, or a top formation on the daily chart.
3. For Observers: The current market volatility is very high, avoid chasing highs. Patience is advised until the price shows clear candlestick patterns (like pin bars, engulfing patterns) near key support or resistance levels with volume confirmation before deciding on the direction.

Risk Warning: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. All analyses are based on historical data and do not constitute investment advice. Please manage positions and risks carefully.

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