Many people are confused when they see me doing short-term trading, thinking it doesn't match the data analysis reports I usually publish. Actually, everyone has misunderstood.
My spot holdings have never been decided impulsively. Every position is built on on-chain data, combined with my judgment of market rhythm. When the market enters a relatively balanced consolidation phase, I will allocate some idle funds for intraday operations. But this is just a strategy to make full use of funds, not my main business.
Once there is a clear breakout or breakdown, forming a one-sided trend, these short-term trades are immediately closed for profit or loss. The freed-up capital can then be used to pursue the true trend direction—that is, the breakout on the right side.
In my analysis a few days ago, I explained very clearly that both on-chain data and candlestick signals point to a higher probability of a "true rebound." So when BTC's daily chart broke above the descending trendline at $90,588, my additional positions were justified. The stop-loss was set at the strong support zone of $87,000, which is based strictly on technical analysis.
Currently, my spot position has been increased to 80%. But if you ask me whether I see a return of the bull market, honestly—no. Not only do I not see it now, I even expect it will be difficult to see a real bull market before Q2 2026.
The real purpose of increasing positions is to "bet on the rebound." When BTC reaches my target zone or data shows a turning signal, I will gradually reduce my holdings. I will never sell everything at once. This flexibility is very important, especially with 2026 in mind—I believe that will be a key turning point in the coming years. Preparing ammunition and mindset in advance ensures that when the real opportunity arrives, I won't be caught off guard.
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ImpermanentPhobia
· 01-09 08:57
Alright, so short-term trading is just to pass the time and make good use of idle funds. When it comes to real deals, it's still about on-chain data.
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ChainChef
· 01-08 10:26
nah this is just proper seasoning the market, not throwing everything in the pot at once—love the discipline here fr
Reply0
DataPickledFish
· 01-06 13:51
Bet on the rebound, just bet on the rebound, don't act like you're holding long-term and fooling yourself.
Pushing this position to 80% is indeed a bit aggressive. Let's wait and see your story in 2026.
View OriginalReply0
BTCRetirementFund
· 01-06 13:51
Oh wow, this combination really emphasizes data + technology + mindset, not the typical gambler's approach.
View OriginalReply0
OnchainHolmes
· 01-06 13:51
Betting on rebounds is fine, but I agree that short-term trading shouldn't be your main focus. However, having 80% of your position is really aggressive.
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gas_fee_therapist
· 01-06 13:40
Hmm... So, 80% of the position isn't really optimistic, just betting on a rebound? That logic is a bit convoluted.
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FUD_Whisperer
· 01-06 13:34
Separating the data side and the trading side is logically sound, but I feel the risk lies in this balance.
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BankruptWorker
· 01-06 13:32
Ha, this is just my daily routine, data speaks for itself
Well said, short-term trading is just using idle funds to make a profit from price differences, the main trend is the real rebound
80% position betting on the rebound, this move is solid, just see how 2026 plays out
Stop loss at 87k, I respect operations with a bottom line
View OriginalReply0
TokenSleuth
· 01-06 13:30
Wow, 80% position and still say you haven't seen a bull market? That takes real guts.
If you can distinguish between a rebound and a bull market, I guess I’ve lost.
Trying to catch a rebound is fine, but 2026 is the real opportunity? I can't hold it anymore.
Many people are confused when they see me doing short-term trading, thinking it doesn't match the data analysis reports I usually publish. Actually, everyone has misunderstood.
My spot holdings have never been decided impulsively. Every position is built on on-chain data, combined with my judgment of market rhythm. When the market enters a relatively balanced consolidation phase, I will allocate some idle funds for intraday operations. But this is just a strategy to make full use of funds, not my main business.
Once there is a clear breakout or breakdown, forming a one-sided trend, these short-term trades are immediately closed for profit or loss. The freed-up capital can then be used to pursue the true trend direction—that is, the breakout on the right side.
In my analysis a few days ago, I explained very clearly that both on-chain data and candlestick signals point to a higher probability of a "true rebound." So when BTC's daily chart broke above the descending trendline at $90,588, my additional positions were justified. The stop-loss was set at the strong support zone of $87,000, which is based strictly on technical analysis.
Currently, my spot position has been increased to 80%. But if you ask me whether I see a return of the bull market, honestly—no. Not only do I not see it now, I even expect it will be difficult to see a real bull market before Q2 2026.
The real purpose of increasing positions is to "bet on the rebound." When BTC reaches my target zone or data shows a turning signal, I will gradually reduce my holdings. I will never sell everything at once. This flexibility is very important, especially with 2026 in mind—I believe that will be a key turning point in the coming years. Preparing ammunition and mindset in advance ensures that when the real opportunity arrives, I won't be caught off guard.