In this market, after so many years of experience, my deepest realization is: greedy people tend to lose the fastest, while those who stick to discipline can gradually grow their principal. I've seen someone start with less than 100,000 and grind their way up to a million, and I've also seen too many people with dreams of "getting rich overnight" ending up losing everything. Today, I want to share a strategy I’ve developed through practical experience — it may not be very exciting, but it’s effective. The core logic is simple: don’t believe in superstition, don’t trust influencers, only trust rules that can beat human nature.

**Level One: The Iron Law of Coin Selection — Only Recognize MACD Golden Cross**

My standard for choosing coins is extremely simple: watch for the MACD golden cross on the daily chart, which is when the fast line DIF crosses above the slow line DEA. It’s especially important if the golden cross appears above the zero line, as this significantly increases reliability — indicating that the trend has shifted from weak to strong, and the bulls are indeed in control.

Why is this indicator so critical to me? Frankly, the MACD golden cross is essentially a momentum shift signal. What does being above the zero line mean? The bulls are taking charge. Conversely, it helps you avoid the most common mistake — trying to bottom fish in a downtrend and getting trapped.

I’ve made this mistake before. Once, a small coin project was extremely popular, with the team hyping it up wildly, and the community full of "buy-in, buy-in" voices. I FOMO’d in and got caught, losing about 30%. Meanwhile, during the same period, my trades on BTC and ETH, which strictly followed the MACD golden cross, steadily moved upward. This experience made me realize clearly: project hype and community enthusiasm are often lagging and can even mislead you.

After a golden cross appears, I habitually wait to see if the subsequent 1-2 candlesticks can hold steady — false signals do exist. If combined with increasing volume, then the signal becomes particularly reliable.

**Level Two: The Anchor Point for Buying and Selling — One 20-Day Moving Average**

When trading, I only use one line to make decisions: the 20-day moving average, which some call the "life line." The rule is very straightforward, but precisely because it’s simple, it’s effective. This line acts as my decision baseline — no overthinking, no repeated doubts. If the price falls below it, I think about how to respond; if it rises above, I trust it.