2026-01-04 17:23:35

Entering January 2026, Bitcoin fluctuates between $88,000 and $92,000. After the correction following the surge to $120,000 at the end of 2025, the market's maturity level has become incomparable to the past.

**Institutional Power Redefines the Landscape**

Last year was the year of explosive growth for spot ETFs, and this year marks the phase where these giants are truly locking in their positions. Institutions like BlackRock have entered a long-term allocation cycle, and exchange-held Bitcoin inventories have fallen to historic lows. From another perspective, as long as there are no major unexpected negative news, the probability of Bitcoin dropping back into the six-figure range is very low.

Global capital flows are also quietly shifting. As the rate-cut cycle progresses, the appeal of traditional bond markets is weakening, and funds seeking yields are gradually turning to crypto assets. Bitcoin has officially upgraded from a purely speculative asset to a "digital safe-haven asset."

**Technical Signals**

Looking at the daily chart, Bitcoin's current pattern is a typical flag consolidation. The support level is at $84,500. If a volume breakout above $95,000 occurs, the next target points to the psychological barrier of $150,000.

**The Essence of the Market Is Rotation, Not End**

Many people worry that the bull market is ending soon. Actually, it's not. What is happening now is a rotation among market participants—retail investors who missed out in 2025 are considering entering, and institutions are rebalancing their positions. If you truly missed the doubling opportunity last year, this wave of volatility at the beginning of 2026 might be the last window to enter.

**Practical Advice**

From a spot perspective: If you have spare funds, buy in batches and don't worry too much about daily fluctuations within $5,000. Those are just noise.

Be cautious with futures trading: Near $93,000, false breakouts are easy to attract chasing higher. Remember to control leverage and avoid liquidation.

Overall, this is not a moment for panic but rather a time to consider your position allocation.

BTC-0,12%

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WhaleWatcher

· 01-07 16:57

Wow, BlackRock is really locking in chips like crazy, with exchange inventories at historic lows. Isn't this telling us what "no turning back" really means... If you didn't get in last year, now's the time to hurry. This might really be the last window of opportunity. Buying spot in batches is fine, but be very careful with contracts. Fake breakouts around 93,000 are basically liquidation machines. The bull market isn't over; it's just rotating. Don't be scared by these fluctuations. Institutions are rotating and consolidating, so retail investors should just calmly buy in batches and wait for the psychological barrier at 150K. BTW, inventories hitting historic lows is really tough; it shows that big players are doing long-term allocations, unlike the playful 2024. The rate cut reduces bond attractiveness, and funds are shifting to crypto—this logic makes sense. Bitcoin has officially upgraded from a gambling asset. Support at 84,500 must hold; breaking below that is when you should really panic. This position is basically the final screening, seeing who really has the patience to build a position. Stop asking "Can it still go up?"—most of those asking are just bagholders...

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TommyTeacher1

· 01-07 10:56

Blackstone's recent move is really accumulating shares, with inventory at a historic low... Is there really no chance it will drop back to the 6-range?

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MidnightMEVeater

· 01-07 07:00

Good morning, it's once again the hunter's time for arbitrage. Institutions are eating the meat, retail investors are looking at the menu, a classic sandwich. --- That $93,000 wall is really interesting; every time it gets close, there's an invisible hand pushing it back. This is the daily menu of dark pool trading. --- Liquidity traps are set quite deep, just waiting for someone to chase high and send miners tips. --- BlackRock's locking positions is telling you that this round isn't the end, but a ritual of shifting chips from retail hands to robots. --- Are fluctuations within 5000 just noise? No, no, no, that's the arbitrage zone for our nocturnal creatures. --- Those who missed doubling their money should now think about why they always get in at the most expensive times. The time cost is more painful than losing money. --- Buying spot in batches is correct, but the real profit always comes from the corpses left behind by those who got wiped out in contract positions. --- Flag pattern consolidation sounds high-level, but basically it's just waiting to see who gets washed out first.

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ImpermanentSage

· 01-04 17:51

Institutions locking in chips, exchange inventories at historic lows, I buy into this logic. But that 150k target is a bit of a fantasy, and when the time comes, we'll probably hear a bunch of arguments about cutting leeks. --- The range of 8.8-9.2 is really annoying. Every time it seems like we're about to break 95k, it gets pulled back again. The guys getting liquidated on the futures side probably have their blood pressure up. --- Basically, those who missed out are considering taking over. Institutional turnover and restructuring is just a nice way of saying it. Anyway, I can't see anything special about this wave; it's pretty much the same as last year's rotation. --- Buying spot in batches is a good suggestion, but how many can actually do it? Most are still chasing highs and selling lows, that's just how it is. --- BlackRock and firms like it are really playing a big game, upgrading from speculative assets to safe-haven assets. This kind of rhetoric sounds good, but it's not exactly new.

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MevHunter

· 01-04 17:47

Institutional lock-up and exchange inventory at historic lows; this logic indeed holds water. The move from 85,000 to 95,000 feels like it's just testing retail investors' patience. Thinking of friends who didn't get in last year, they probably regret it now. Gradual positioning is definitely more stable; don't gamble on that fake breakout, or you'll get liquidated. The 150K target sounds quite tempting, but we still need to hold the lower support level.

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InscriptionGriller

· 01-04 17:40

Blackstone's lock-up move, I see through it—it's just to cut the last batch of retail investors. Under the guise of institutional turnover, the 93,000 hurdle must be crossed by the site personnel—do they really think retail investors are that naive? Buying spot in batches is okay, but don't listen to their nonsense—there's no such thing as a safe bottom. Futures trading is full of tricks; I advise you not to get involved.

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MrRightClick

· 01-04 17:32

BlackRock and these guys are really locking in funds, the exchange reserves are almost depleted, it's scary. Institutions are疯狂囤币, retail investors are still debating whether to jump in. Look at this market situation. Can $150k really be reached? Feels like this article is a bit too optimistic. It's both旗形 and rotation, basically waiting for the bagholders. Staggered entry into spot is fine, but don't touch the contracts, brothers. This thing around $93k is too risky. Missed last year's double and now want to buy the dip? Wake up, everyone. The降息周期 is pushing bonds to decline, funds are shifting to crypto? That logic is a bit weak. Can the 6-figure level really not be reached again? Why do I still feel a bit anxious? I agree with the position allocation, but don't get caught by fake breakouts and get chopped. It's not panic, it's about position allocation. This sounds comfortable, but how do you operate?

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