2026-01-04 16:20:38

#2026年比特币行情展望 In 2026, Bitcoin stabilizes above the 90,000 mark. Is it time for the institutional mid-term break to end?

Over the past month, BTC has been oscillating between $88,000 and $92,000. This range may seem boring, but it actually hides many secrets. Looking back at the surge to 120,000 at the end of 2025, the current pullback is actually a healthy correction. Compared to last year's volatility, the current market sentiment is much more stable.

**Institutional Chips Are "Stabilizing the Sea"**

Last year was the first year of ETFs, and this year has become the time for institutions to truly digest their positions. Giants like BlackRock have long locked BTC into long-term accounts, and exchange inventories have dropped to historic lows. In other words—unless a black swan event occurs, the probability of Bitcoin returning to the $6x,000 range is very low.

**Global Capital Flows Are Shifting**

The interest rate cut cycle is deepening, and traditional bonds are losing appeal in a recession. Institutional funds are starting to turn around and flow into crypto assets. This time is different; Bitcoin is no longer purely a speculative asset but is officially recognized as a "digital safe-haven asset." This is a qualitative shift.

**Technical Outlook**

On the daily chart, BTC is forming a standard flag pattern. The strong support below is at 84,500, and a further drop below this level would be risky. Conversely, if BTC can effectively break through 95,000, the next target points to the consensus high of 150,000. Short-term fluctuations within $5,000 are not worth paying too much attention to.

**Retail Investors Are Selling, Main Players Are Rebalancing**

The current market situation is basically like this. If you missed the doubling wave in 2025, this initial 2026 volatility might really be the last window to get in.

Simple trading advice:
- **Spot traders**: Buy in stages on dips, don’t be scared by short-term fluctuations
- **Futures traders**: Beware of fake breakouts around 93,000, and keep leverage levels under control

Honestly, whether Bitcoin can break through $200,000 in 2026 is worth pondering. But what’s even more worth pondering is—are you ready to embrace this wave of market opportunity?

BTC0,28%

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EthSandwichHero

· 01-07 14:17

Institutional stabilization? It looks more like they're paving the way for retail investors. I already fell into the 93,000 trap last time. Truly a dead end.

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OnchainHolmes

· 01-06 15:16

Is a 90,000 fluctuation interesting? It was about time to shake out the retail investors.

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SoliditySlayer

· 01-04 16:50

Damn, I almost fell into the trap of that 93,000. Really need to be careful.

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SandwichDetector

· 01-04 16:44

The fake breakout trap at 93,000 has already tricked me once last year. Now, I have a shadow of doubt whenever I see this level.

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Layer2Observer

· 01-04 16:37

Let me take a look at the data. The term "exchange inventory freezing point" should be questioned. BlackRock is indeed accumulating positions, but can we directly conclude that the probability of returning to the 6-digit range is very low? Further verification is needed.

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DEXRobinHood

· 01-04 16:34

Oh no, it's the same old story again. I can't see how the institutions are "stabilizing" the market. --- Is 84,500 really support? I think it's about to break again soon. --- 99% of those in the futures market are leverage blow-up traders. There's no point in advising them. --- Didn't get in last year, and I don't dare to now. Just leave it at that. --- I've been hearing the last window's explanation for three years. --- 150,000? First, take down 95,000 before bragging. --- Dipping in in batches for spot buying sounds good, but in reality, everyone has missed out at some point. --- Bond recession and Bitcoin rising—this logic is ridiculously simple. --- The $200,000 dream I only pursue; the money stays still. --- Is BlackRock locked out? Then is there any hope for retail investors? --- The black swan is most feared when such times come. --- Flag pattern consolidation has been going on for months. It's truly boring.

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