2026-01-04 16:20:31

#Strategy加码BTC配置 The recent surge in altcoin markets has indeed been quite intense, and many have made a profit during this rebound. However, the upcoming trend requires close attention to several signals.

First, let's talk about the opportunity for a catch-up rally. Leading coins like $PEPE have been rallying strongly lately, indicating that the altcoin season has quietly begun. For example, $PENGU is still around 0.012; from a technical perspective, there's a chance it could first surge to 0.013, and if the enthusiasm continues, it might attempt to reach 0.015. However, these coins are known for their high volatility, so participation should be with small positions, quick in and out—don't expect to hold long-term. Heavy positions are prone to repeated shakeouts.

Next, let's look at Ethereum. Recently, Ethereum indeed touched the 3170 target level, followed by a correction as expected. But in terms of trend completeness, this wave might not be fully over yet. There’s still a chance to test the 3180-3200 zone, which could be a good entry point for a pullback. The current trend is basically in line with previous judgments.

However, there's a warning to be aware of. The overall market trend now appears to be a typical "rising relay" pattern, which was especially common during the 2022 bear market rebound. If Bitcoin truly makes a false breakout above 94,000 and Ethereum surges toward 3400, caution is advised—if the rate hike expectations in late January fall short, it could trigger a trend reversal.

From a trading perspective, in the short term, it’s okay to follow the rebound enthusiasm, but be sure to act quickly—quick in and out, avoid greed. Mid-January should focus on positioning at high levels, possibly trying low-leverage short positions to hedge risks, especially considering the potential negative impact of the upcoming rate decision meeting at the end of the month. Essentially, this rebound might be the "last hurrah." Overall, stay sufficiently alert; don’t get blinded by short-term gains.

In summary, the altcoin rally comes fast and goes quickly. Opportunities and risks are often just a thought apart. During the frenzy, don’t forget the risks; during volatility, keep your rhythm steady—that’s the way to survive longer.

BTC-2,77%

PEPE-11,53%

PENGU-14,11%

ETH-3,14%

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HypotheticalLiquidator

· 01-06 20:22

Still talking about the fake season, same old lines every time, and what’s the result? Aren’t there still many people experiencing chain liquidations? Leverage short hedging? Wake up, the market sentiment is so intense on the eve of the interest rate decision, your health factor has long been off the charts. A false breakout at 94,000 can reverse? Have you heard of the domino theory? With such high borrowing rates now, a black swan could directly cause liquidation and price chaos. The final carnival sounds good, but the question is, how do you know which moment is the last second? Greedy ghosts are all waiting here. $PENGU 0.015? I think, with such fierce volatility, it gets liquidated by wash trading before it even runs out, not worth it.

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AltcoinMarathoner

· 01-05 21:08

yo, this alt season sprint feels exactly like mile 18 in the marathon — everyone's giddy, but the real test is who doesn't blow up at mile 23. the short-term noise is tempting, ngl, but zooming out to macro flows tells a different story entirely.

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ForkTrooper

· 01-04 16:50

Altcoins are really crazy this time, but I still think we should be cautious. It feels like the final carnival. PENGU still has some room, but don't hold a heavy position, as it could be a shakeout to kill traders. If the rate cut in late January fails to materialize, expect a reverse move. Don't cry then. Quick in and out is the truth; the greedy ones have all been cut.

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BottomMisser

· 01-04 16:47

Haha, it's the final celebration again. I last heard this phrase last year. --- PENGU this wave really has some potential, but I tend to get itchy and chase highs. I've been washed twice already. --- That's right, short-term quick in and out, don't hold a heavy position like me waiting to die. --- The low-leverage short hedge is a good move, but I always place my orders too late. --- Altcoins, they make money super fast, but losing can happen in the blink of an eye too. --- Watching others make money is the most painful, even more painful than losing money. --- The probability of the 94,000 fake breakout is a bit high, feels like another trap to lure short sellers. --- Clear-headed? I haven't been clear-headed for a long time. Now it's just about luck. --- Every time I say quick in and out, it always turns into a long-term hold. Tears. --- If this rebound really is the final celebration, it's game over. I just entered the market.

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AirdropAutomaton

· 01-04 16:47

The final celebration, I believe... Last time I said that, PEPE had already multiplied tenfold. It's easy to say "buy low and sell high," but when greed takes over, who can hold on? As for the expectation of interest rate cuts, we'll see the answer by the end of the month.

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LiquidityWitch

· 01-04 16:30

It's another "last hurrah." I'm tired of hearing this phrase, haha. PENGU's move is indeed interesting, but I'm just worried about being washed out. I think there's a decent chance of a false breakout of 94,000. The real watershed will be the interest rate decision at the end of the month. Sell quickly in the short term, but stay cautious in the long term. After all, this rebound has been a bit too smooth.

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GlueGuy

· 01-04 16:29

Haha, it's the final celebration again. I'm tired of hearing this set of rhetoric. PENGU is indeed somewhat interesting, but the real question is whether you're brave enough to hold a heavy position. The routine of shaking out weak hands has been played out. If the interest rate cut expectation falls through, it will indeed be quite uncertain. Better keep a backup plan.

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