Cryptocurrency market forecasts are never short of opinions—some shout BTC will hit $1 million, others are bearish and predict a 50% drop, and economists also chime in with warnings of "bubble traps." But I said before this rebound that all of that is nonsense.

People who have been in the game for over a decade observe BTC cycles and notice a very solid pattern: bear markets are like clock gears, frighteningly precise. In 2014, 2018, and 2022, perfectly spaced four-year intervals, each bear market lasted almost the same—410 days, 363 days, 377 days. This is no coincidence; it’s an iron law that emerges from hard historical data.

I’ve broken down nearly ten years of candlestick charts, recording the start, end, and amplitude of each bear cycle. And what’s the result? No matter how many "once-in-a-century" black swan events occur in between, the cycle ultimately hovers around "about one year."

So, assuming this bull market peaks on October 7, 2025 (based on historical top interval calculations), adding 364 days brings us exactly to October 6, 2026. This doesn’t require complex technical indicators or market analysis—only one variable: time. BTC’s cyclicality is strong enough that you can almost predict it with a calendar.