#比特币价格预测 Seeing this round of Bitcoin price predictions, I have to be honest. From 170,000 to 143,000 and then to 124,000, these numbers all sound tempting, but that's exactly when people are most likely to get caught.

I've been through this too many times—whenever there's a sign of a rebound at the market bottom, analysts start to voice bullish opinions one after another, using various technical indicators and historical patterns to argue "this time is really different." RSI has rebounded five times after hitting bottom, so this time it must rebound too? This kind of logic fooled me once, but it won't fool me a second time.

The most warning sign is that the more precise the prediction, the deeper the trap often is. The oscillation range from 80,000 to 100,000 is precisely delineated, and even the emotional high point in March can be predicted—this overconfidence itself is a risk signal. The market never follows the analysts' scripts.

I noticed that Arthur Hayes, while bullish himself, also transferred $1.5 million worth of ETH assets. That's an interesting detail. Saying he's optimistic but actually selling off—this is a tactic from years ago.

The current strategy is very clear: don't chase highs, protect existing positions. If you really want to add to your holdings, wait until Bitcoin stabilizes above the $70,000 support level. Those voices predicting 170,000—just listen, don't take them seriously. It's rare to see such things; it's more important than chasing maximum profits.