#数字资产动态追踪 $BTC The recent trend is indeed interesting. On January 4, 2026, at 12:00 PM (UTC+8), the price is around $91,200. The daily bullish momentum looks good, but the hourly chart is showing some overbought signs, so a short-term correction to release pressure is very likely.

Let's first discuss the current key levels.

Looking downward, immediate support is around 90,500 to 90,000—this is the first line of defense during intraday pullbacks. If broken, there is strong support below 90,000 at 89,500 to 89,000, which is the previous low plus the upper boundary of the prior consolidation zone, forming a more solid support. On the upside, resistance is at 91,600 to 92,000, where today’s highs and several psychological levels are clustered. Above that, 92,500 to 93,000 was once a heavily traded zone. The final resistance is at 93,750, which is the Murray 3/8 resonance level.

From a technical perspective, the daily chart has broken above the previous consolidation upper boundary, with moving averages aligned in a bullish pattern. The 200-day EMA has shifted from resistance to support—this is a positive sign. On the 4-hour chart, RSI has entered overbought territory, indicating a need for correction, but the bullish structure remains intact. The hourly chart is currently consolidating at high levels; be cautious of a sharp pullback after a rally. The most prudent approach is to wait for a pullback before entering positions. On-chain data shows long-term holders are net accumulating, indicating the market structure is still healthy.

How to trade? Here are a few strategies:

A conservative bullish approach is to wait until the price pulls back to and stabilizes in the 90,000 to 90,500 range, then go long with a stop loss at 89,000. The target is around 91,600 to 92,000. If it breaks below, then look toward 92,500 to 93,000. For more aggressive traders, a small position can be entered at the current price, but only if above 91,000, with a stop loss at 90,000. Profit targets remain the same.

If bearish, when resistance at 91,600 to 92,000 weakens, consider shorting. Set a stop loss at 92,500, with targets back at 90,500 to 90,000. If it breaks further, look toward 89,500.

Position management should not be lax: spot holdings should not exceed 50%, futures positions should stay below 30%, and leverage must be strictly controlled. Never chase highs.

Finally, a risk warning: weekend liquidity is often thin, and volatility can be amplified. Be prepared to react quickly to stop-loss triggers. If the 89,000 support level is truly broken, the bullish trend will be in doubt. At that point, consider either waiting or switching to a short position.