The popularity of predictions about the political situation in Venezuela on Polymarket continues to rise. According to reports, Nobel Peace Prize laureate and Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado is expected to return to the country this month. She claimed to be ready to lead the nation, but Trump subsequently publicly poured cold water on her, questioning whether she has enough public support. This political game has also become a focus of market participants' attention—the prediction market is discovering the true probability of this key event.