#预测市场 The interesting thing about the crypto market in 2026 is not how high the coin prices can soar, but the structural transformation this industry is undergoing. After reviewing this information, my feeling is: the prediction market track is about to become very hot.

Polymarket's performance during the US election has already demonstrated the potential of this track, and CZ also specifically mentioned that the mid-term elections next year will be a key milestone. But there's a question I've been revisiting — who can actually win in this competition? The answer is quite sobering: it's not the most advanced technology, nor the smartest strategy design, but **whether the team can deliver quickly when demand changes**.

The biggest takeaway from following projects over these years is that I’ve realized one thing: the market never lacks smart people; what it lacks are those who can execute consistently. Ultimately, projects in the prediction market track will learn from each other’s features, and at that point, it will come down to who can respond to user needs faster, whose product experience is more stable, and who can stay on track during major events. Just like how I choose follow objects — it’s not about who has the most complex strategy, but who can maintain discipline during market volatility.

From a regulatory perspective, by 2026, the policy framework for stablecoins and prediction markets will become clearer, which is good news for leading compliant projects. But risks also exist — if a team fails to execute properly and encounters issues, the confidence in the entire track could be affected. So if you want to find opportunities in this track, my advice is to focus on observing the team’s performance over short cycles, rather than being misled by grand narratives. Ultimately, long-term winners will still outperform their competitors through daily product refinement and user experience.