ZEC has recently started to weaken again—this coin indeed has a certain degree of independence. When the overall market drops, it sometimes rises instead; when the market surges, it then pulls back.
Some time ago, I suggested entering long positions in the 490-500 range. Later, it rose to 538, just 2 dollars short of the target. At that time, a "Heavenly Needle" pattern appeared on the four-hour chart, which made me start to sense some warning signals. Therefore, I recommended taking profits around 530, and it turned out that 538 was the top of this round of rally. (See Chart 1)
From a Chan theory perspective, ZEC is currently in the first downward move on the daily chart, and the four-hour chart has already formed a complete Chan structure of down-up-down. (Refer to Chart 2) This indicates two possible strategies moving forward:
**Aggressive traders**: If a secondary sell signal appears on the 30-minute chart tonight, consider a light short position. (Chart 3 shows the specific pattern)
**Conservative approach**: I personally prefer to wait until the four-hour rebound move is complete before entering a short position for the second sell—this approach tends to have a higher success rate.
Overall, ZEC is currently in a critical adjustment phase, and mastering the rhythm of Chan theory is very important.
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ProposalManiac
· 4h ago
ZEC's independent market indeed has some interesting aspects, but the fundamental issue with the win rate game between aggressive short and conservative short is still a matter of mechanism design.
The risk exposure of trying to short is always an incentive incompatibility after decentralization.
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GasFeeGazer
· 4h ago
It's ZEC again, this mischievous little guy, really a master of reverse operations.
That move at 530 to take profit was really slick, just two dollars away from perfection. That feeling is indeed satisfying.
As for the Chan Theory, honestly, it depends on the person. I agree with the conservative approach of waiting for a rebound before shorting, after all, it offers higher certainty.
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HorizonHunter
· 4h ago
538 that copy was beautifully done, but this coin has a bad temper and always tends to go against the trend.
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GasFeeCrybaby
· 4h ago
I also saw that peak at 538, but I was too greedy. If I hadn't taken profits in time, I would have been wiped out.
ZEC has recently started to weaken again—this coin indeed has a certain degree of independence. When the overall market drops, it sometimes rises instead; when the market surges, it then pulls back.
Some time ago, I suggested entering long positions in the 490-500 range. Later, it rose to 538, just 2 dollars short of the target. At that time, a "Heavenly Needle" pattern appeared on the four-hour chart, which made me start to sense some warning signals. Therefore, I recommended taking profits around 530, and it turned out that 538 was the top of this round of rally. (See Chart 1)
From a Chan theory perspective, ZEC is currently in the first downward move on the daily chart, and the four-hour chart has already formed a complete Chan structure of down-up-down. (Refer to Chart 2) This indicates two possible strategies moving forward:
**Aggressive traders**: If a secondary sell signal appears on the 30-minute chart tonight, consider a light short position. (Chart 3 shows the specific pattern)
**Conservative approach**: I personally prefer to wait until the four-hour rebound move is complete before entering a short position for the second sell—this approach tends to have a higher success rate.
Overall, ZEC is currently in a critical adjustment phase, and mastering the rhythm of Chan theory is very important.