#数字资产动态追踪 $ETH From 2880 all the way up to 3068, after a continuous unilateral rally, it has already deviated significantly from the moving average group, with the price running along the upper Bollinger Band. This is a typical short-term top signal.



From a technical perspective, there are some issues: MACD is above the zero line, but the histogram is shrinking, and the high-level momentum is weakening. More importantly, open interest (OI) continues to rise, but the price is starting to consolidate, indicating that chasing the rally is accumulating funds, and the divergence between bulls and bears is widening.

The 3060–3080 range is a previous high point combined with an emotional resistance zone. Without a volume breakout, pushing higher would be a forced rise with limited sustainability.

Trading idea: Try short positions in batches between 3050–3080, with a stop-loss set above 3100 on the hourly close. The first target is around 3000, with further observation of 2960–2980.

It’s important to clarify that this is not calling for a reversal, but from a short-term cost-performance perspective, the bulls are no longer as advantageous. If you are holding long positions that are trapped, you should consider reducing your position gradually and strengthening your defense. Holding on stubbornly is a poor strategy.

Core logic in one sentence: The bulls have reached an emotional peak; the bears are not waiting for a top but are expecting the bulls to lose momentum. Managing your position well is more important than guessing the right direction.
ETH4,25%
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TrustMeBrovip
· 7h ago
Bollinger Band top, MACD weakening, OI accumulation... I've seen this combination too many times, but I’ve never guessed the top correctly. However, this guy's logic is indeed clear; it's definitely a sign that the bulls are exhausted.
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PerennialLeekvip
· 12h ago
Bollinger upper band is so tight, it feels like the moment at the top of a roller coaster, and suddenly the air turns cold. --- I've seen the MACD histogram shrink too many times; every time, someone stubbornly holds on, and it always ends badly. --- Honestly, after the 3080 level has been sideways for so long, I really don't dare to chase anymore. The risk-reward ratio has already become disappointing. --- The guys who are trapped are still waiting for a rebound to rescue them. They should have manually reduced their positions long ago, instead of regretting it when it's time to cut losses. --- OI accumulation + price sideways movement, this combination is basically saying the bulls are out of steam, and the bears are sharpening their knives. --- How long can a hard rally last? Based on the technicals, I can't give a good answer, but it definitely won't go far. --- That 3000 level looks quite comfortable, but whether it can really drop back depends on the subsequent volume and momentum. --- Managing position sizes is really much more reliable than betting on the direction. This hits hard, but some people just want to take a gamble.
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GasWaster69vip
· 12h ago
Here we go again, talking about Bollinger Bands hugging the bands and MACD losing momentum. How many times have I said this before? Yet, it still gets proven wrong.
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SelfMadeRuggeevip
· 12h ago
3068 dares to chase, really not taking your account seriously
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ZenMinervip
· 12h ago
This wave of emotional momentum is indeed a bit hard to hold on to, with MACD losing momentum and chasing the rally... Forget it, I won't gamble on the top, just wait for it to lose speed.
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BeNicerToMeFor26Years.vip
· 12h ago
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BlockTalkvip
· 12h ago
The upper Bollinger Band is so tight, and the MACD histogram is still shrinking. This bullish momentum really lacks sustainability.
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HashBardvip
· 13h ago
ngl the narrative arc here is *chef's kiss* ... eth pumped its way into pure sentiment theater, now we're watching the denouement unfold. macd flatlining while oi keeps climbing? that's the market equivalent of everyone holding their breath before the plot twist hits.
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