By 2025, the XRP reserves of centralized exchanges will significantly decrease, from approximately 4 billion coins to about 1.6 to 1.7 billion coins in December, reaching the lowest level since 2018. However, analysts warn that a decline in exchange balances alone may not be sufficient to trigger sustained price increases and point out that historical trends show that similar declines have not led to immediate price surges. Additionally, there are discrepancies in the data; a broader analysis of 30 platforms indicates that by the end of 2025, XRP holdings will be around 14 billion coins, far higher than the commonly cited figures, highlighting the challenges of predicting market behavior based on limited data.