Last month I made 814 USDT in the prediction market. Starting capital was 50,300, and I still have 9 positions open. After all settlements, I expect to surpass 1,000 USD, achieving a small monthly goal of 2%.

To be honest, I started participating in prediction market activities relatively late. I only began experimenting in October last year, initially investing 2,000 to test the waters. Like all beginners, I extensively researched various strategies and finally summarized four popular approaches in the market.

**First: Hedging Arbitrage**. Monitor the price differences for the same event across different platforms. When the combined Yes and No prices are ≤1, buy on both sides simultaneously to lock in the profit from the spread. This is the most stable method.

**Second: Copy Trading**. Identify accounts with high historical win rates and have a bot automatically follow their bets. But I reject this approach—I don’t like giving others the right to profit from my funds. Plus, as more people follow, it can easily be exploited as a liquidity pool and be "cut."

**Third: Trading Strategies**. Rely on analyzing and predicting the event’s trend, going long or short. The logic is similar to trading cryptocurrencies. Unless you have insider information or can manipulate the event, it’s purely gambling. I prefer low-risk options, so this isn’t suitable for me.

**Fourth: End-of-Event Trading**. Wait until the probability reaches 90+%, then jump in to earn high-confidence profits.

After weighing the options, I mainly combine hedging and end-of-event trading. My initial goal in predicting the market was to avoid losing principal while tracking market movements. These two strategies perfectly fit my risk management framework.