#比特币价格走势 Quantum computing threats have been officially put on the agenda. The 2028 time window suggested by Charles Edwards is worth noting — this is not a distant risk, but a clear timeline.

From an on-chain data perspective, this type of systemic risk usually begins to ferment long before market pricing reflects it. If institutions start adjusting hedges for long-term holdings, we should be able to track related signals on-chain: large BTC withdrawals from exchanges, an increase in long-term put options in derivatives, changes in whale wallet movements, and so on.

The $50,000 price target essentially reflects the market's discounting of "technological risk." But this depends on several variables: first, the actual progress of quantum-resistant technology; second, the industry's response speed; third, the turning point of market psychological expectations.

The current focus is not on panic, but on observation. Closely monitor institutional fund movements and on-chain contract data. When these indicators show significant anomalies, it will be the right time to reassess the risk. Short-term price fluctuations may still be dominated by other factors, but the long-term pricing logic now has a new reference framework.