2026-01-01 18:22:35

That centuries-old adage has been validated once again—after Newton lost ten years' worth of salary in the South Sea Bubble, he lamented: "I can calculate the motions of the heavens, but I can't predict the madness of mankind." Putting this into today's Dogecoin market, it's almost prophetic.

Every now and then, someone asks: Is it still worth jumping in now? Elon Musk has posted again, should I follow? Instead of obsessing over these, it's better to understand a harsh truth.

The rules of Dogecoin's game have never followed the "value investing" approach; it's all about "emotional speculation." In its price movements, 80% are driven by Elon Musk's trending topics and the collective sentiment of market participants, with the remaining 20% barely related to technical fundamentals. In other words, you're not buying future application prospects but betting on when the next "wave of emotion" will surge. Once you realize this, you'll stop thinking about "adding to positions to lower the average cost."

**The first ironclad rule for survival: position limit is always 5%, and staggered dollar-cost averaging is more resilient than going all-in.** I've seen too many retail investors throw everything into a tweet, only to see the price plunge the next day and lose everything. How crazy is Dogecoin? Daily surges of 30% and drops of 40% are common. Playing with full position is like entrusting yourself to luck. If you really want to get involved, treat it as a "high-risk entertainment investment": allocate a fixed small amount each month for buying, earn some extra income if it profits, and accept losses without harm—this is the proper way to speculate.

**The second ironclad rule for survival: keep a close eye on two key signals.** One is Elon Musk's social activity frequency and tone; the other is the real data of community enthusiasm. When both start cooling down, it's often a risk signal. Don’t wait until everyone is cutting losses before you run.

One last tip: set a stop-loss line, don’t get sentimental. If the price drops more than 20%, sell immediately. As long as the green mountains remain, there will be future opportunities.

DOGE7,96%

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DeFiCaffeinator

· 17h ago

Even Newton got cut, do we still want to make money? That's too naive, my friend. --- Elon Musk's single tweet full position entry, how much of that tax on intelligence do we have to pay? --- Saying 5% position is correct, but no one listens. --- Wait, are you really betting on emotions unknowingly, or are you pretending not to know? --- Set a 20% stop-loss and run, easy to say, but when the market drops, who the hell is willing to cut? --- Dollar-cost averaging is the way to go, but I'm afraid that a small fixed amount each month will eventually turn into monthly all-in. --- Why have I never caught the community's enthusiasm and Musk's tone? These two signals. --- Honestly, Dogecoin is just gambling; don't dress it up as an investment.

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GasFeeCrier

· 18h ago

Even Newton had a crash, so don't expect to make money easily haha --- That 5% position really hits hard. I've seen too many all-in bets that ended in shattered dreams --- As soon as Musk tweeted, I placed an order. This time I lost again, serves me right --- Basically, it's betting on Musk's mood. Who can guarantee a win? --- I agree with the 20% stop-loss exit. Otherwise, you'll get cut so many times you'll start doubting your life --- Monthly small investments are indeed reliable, a hundred times better than gambling everything --- Using the term emotional speculation is too harsh; it's just collective gambling --- Dogecoin's rise and fall depends on whether Musk is drinking or not. It's hilarious --- When community enthusiasm cools down, it's time to run. The signals are actually quite obvious --- Don't go all-in. There are too many painful lessons. Just reading these people's stories is enough

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DegenWhisperer

· 18h ago

Even Newton had a crash, why should we retail investors win? --- Elon Musk's single tweet can determine my fate. Thinking about it, it's pretty crazy haha. --- The 5% position size suggestion really hits home. Watching others make several times their investment in one go, I really have to hold back on my monthly dollar-cost averaging. --- Basically, it's just riding the wave of emotions. Once you understand this, you won't keep thinking about bottom fishing. --- Both signals are cooling down, so run quickly. Don't wait until others cut their losses before reacting. --- Watching Musk's tweets every day, it feels like I'm just playing his puppet. --- The 20% stop-loss rule is a strict principle. When it hits, you have to be ruthless—better to keep the green mountains.

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WenMoon

· 18h ago

Even Newton failed, what are we playing with haha Elon Musk's single tweet can boost the stock by 40%, is this really investing? It's purely a gamble on luck The 5% position dollar-cost averaging trick is indeed ruthless, but I think most people still have the fate of going all-in

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