Five years ago, that dreamy mistake still lingers in my mind. Watching the news about "Bitcoin hitting $100,000" everywhere, I got caught up in the moment and poured all my savings into it at the $60,000 level. And what happened? The price plummeted straight down to $30,000. Watching half a year's salary evaporate in my account, I finally couldn't resist and sold off my holdings.

Now I hear the voice saying "Ethereum will break $10,000 in 2026," and that familiar feeling hits me instantly. But this time, I’m not afraid; I even find it a bit funny—history doesn’t necessarily repeat, but the smell of retail investors is unmistakably the same. After five years of bull and bear markets, I’ve figured out how retail investors survive, and I’ve developed a set of strategies. I want to share them with everyone. Even if Ethereum really hits $10,000, this method can ensure you make money instead of ending up as the last bagholder.

**The first misconception to correct is crucial: never treat predictions as faith.**

I’ve seen too many friends elevate the number "Ethereum at $10,000" as if it’s gospel, staring at the candlestick charts every day with furrowed brows, their emotions swinging wildly with the trading volume. The final outcome is often chasing the high and getting caught or panic-selling. Predictions are just predictions; their role is to give you a reference point, not a trading instruction. The market’s complexity always exceeds imagination—whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, what regulators might say, or if there are code vulnerabilities—any of these variables can change the trend. Now, I don’t analyze based on a single prediction; I combine data from a dozen or more dimensions before making a judgment.

**The second thing is a position-building formula I’ve used for three years and still do.**

Let’s call it the "3-3-2-2 Positioning Method." Here’s how it works: establish 30% of your position at $3,000, another 30% at $3,500, 20% at $4,000, and 20% at $4,500. What’s the benefit? Once the price rebounds, you won’t regret missing out; if the price continues to fall, you still have ammunition to add to your position.

The take-profit strategy follows the same logic. When it rises to $6,000, sell 20% to lock in profits; at $8,000, sell 30%; at $10,000, sell another 30%. The remaining 20% I usually keep to see if I can catch a bigger move. This way, you can secure profits while avoiding greed that might cause you to give it all back.