🔥 Once the US employment data was released, the expectation of rate cuts was immediately dashed. The market was originally waiting for the script of "economic cooling → central bank easing," but reality hit hard. Both bulls and bears are a bit confused by this round of market movement.
Looking closely at the data, it is indeed contradictory: initial jobless claims at 192,000 remain steady, indicating that companies are still holding up; but the continuing claims and the unemployment rate(4.6%) are climbing, which means it’s harder to find a job than before. The Federal Reserve Chair also changed tone, and the phrase "very prudent" is no longer heard.
In this situation, the "higher and longer" interest rate environment may continue to play out. Next month’s non-farm payrolls and inflation data will be the real turning points — only then can we see whether the Fed is truly shifting stance or just continuing to hold firm.
What are your thoughts? Will the Fed be forced to adjust its policy, or will it stick to its hawkish stance? How are your positions arranged now? Let’s discuss strategies.
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WagmiWarrior
· 6h ago
Wow, this data is really outrageous. Unemployment is rising, and companies are still holding on. The Federal Reserve has forcibly killed the dream of interest rate cuts.
High interest rates will continue to cause trouble. What are we supposed to do?
My position right now is just to wait and see. I'll wait for next month's data before making any moves. Can't afford to gamble.
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MidnightTrader
· 13h ago
The expectation of rate cuts is gone. It's no surprise that the crypto market has been rising these days; it seems I have to keep holding on.
Thinking that the Federal Reserve would loosen monetary policy, but they firmly held back. This rhythm is really tough.
Non-farm payroll data is the real stabilizer. When the truth comes out, everything will be clear.
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VirtualRichDream
· 13h ago
Damn, the rate cut dream is shattered again. This time, there's really no way out.
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The Federal Reserve is still pretending to be tough; we'll just keep eating dirt.
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What’s the point of a steady initial jobless claim? The real story is the continuing claims soaring.
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Wait until next month’s non-farm payrolls; then we’ll see if this hawkish stance is bluster or real resolve.
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How should I allocate my positions? I’d rather sell first—this market is too twisted.
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Both bulls and bears are confused, retail investors are even more clueless, haha.
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Just want to ask, those betting the Federal Reserve will compromise—how does it feel now?
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MetaEggplant
· 13h ago
The Fed's game is really ruthless; the data swings between being solid and weak, and retail investors are being whipped back and forth.
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gas_fee_therapist
· 13h ago
Interest rates remain high, so be honest and reduce your positions. Chasing the market really is a gamble with your life.
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The dream of rate cuts has been shattered. Now it depends on how long the Federal Reserve can hold on. I can't outguess them.
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Data is really hitting back, haha. The bulls should wake up; this move is just a trap to lure in buyers.
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Finding a job is getting harder, and the unemployment rate is still rising. The economy isn't that strong. What is the Federal Reserve pretending?
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I've halved my positions. Let's see the data next month; entering now is just giving away money.
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The phrase "higher for longer" is really annoying. Every time they say it, but what’s the result?
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I can't quite understand this market. Both bulls and bears have valid reasons, but no one is making money.
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🔥 Once the US employment data was released, the expectation of rate cuts was immediately dashed. The market was originally waiting for the script of "economic cooling → central bank easing," but reality hit hard. Both bulls and bears are a bit confused by this round of market movement.
Looking closely at the data, it is indeed contradictory: initial jobless claims at 192,000 remain steady, indicating that companies are still holding up; but the continuing claims and the unemployment rate(4.6%) are climbing, which means it’s harder to find a job than before. The Federal Reserve Chair also changed tone, and the phrase "very prudent" is no longer heard.
In this situation, the "higher and longer" interest rate environment may continue to play out. Next month’s non-farm payrolls and inflation data will be the real turning points — only then can we see whether the Fed is truly shifting stance or just continuing to hold firm.
What are your thoughts? Will the Fed be forced to adjust its policy, or will it stick to its hawkish stance? How are your positions arranged now? Let’s discuss strategies.