2026-01-01 12:25:39

Those still holding onto the four-year cycle theory have most likely already exited the market in this round from October to December. To be honest, the market trend from 2026 onwards may no longer be dominated by cycle theory believers, but will entirely depend on macroeconomic conditions and institutional investors' judgments.

Looking at it from another perspective, the gradual failure of the four-year cycle theory may not necessarily be a bad thing. Traditional long-term investors can no longer catch the "buy the dip every four years" opportunity, but this precisely means that the market pace has accelerated and risks are more dispersed. Bull and bear markets can switch at any time, and investment opportunities have become more diverse—no longer needing to wait four years passively, but requiring a more敏感 market intuition.

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StealthDeployer

· 5h ago

The four-year cycle is dead, and I really give up this time. The cycle theory should have gone bankrupt long ago; those who can't keep up with the rhythm deserve to be eliminated. The market has become faster, and those who react slowly will get hit—there's nothing we can do about it. Macro is the real boss; the cycle theory is outdated, brother. Waiting for four years? Wake up. Now institutions can do whatever they want. Diversification of risk is actually a good thing; stop clinging to that theory. Lack of sensitivity really can't survive; I think those who believe in the cycle theory should reflect on themselves.

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AlphaBrain

· 17h ago

The cycle theory is bankrupt, outdated and worn out.

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DegenDreamer

· 17h ago

The cycle theory is dead, but the market isn't—this is the real point. Macro is the key; those still waiting to bottom out based on cycles should have already thrown in the towel. Institutions are playing, and we need to quickly switch our mindset; otherwise, we'll really get eaten up. Waiting every 4 years? That's laughable. Now, we must stay prepared at all times.

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EntryPositionAnalyst

· 17h ago

The cycle theory really should retire, it was long overdue Waiting four years to bottom out? Wake up, buddy Institutions are the real brains now, following them is the right move Basically, it's the era of fast fish eating slow fish Four-year cycle? Laughable, now one month can make up for a whole year

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governance_lurker