Bitcoin just smashed its long-standing historical cycle playbook. Here's what changed.



For years, the pattern was rock solid: three consecutive green yearly closes, then one red year. Rinse and repeat. Classic cycle.

But 2024 flipped the script. We're only seeing two green yearly closes before hitting red. That's different from the textbook playbook.

So here's the question everyone's asking: Are the four-year cycles dead? Is Bitcoin's market structure shifting into something new?

The data suggests things might not be as predictable as they once were. Whether that's a temporary blip or a genuine structural change in how Bitcoin cycles operate—that's the million-dollar debate right now.
BTC0,88%
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 3
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
MEVHuntervip
· 5h ago
nah cycles are dead fr... institutional players finally figured out the playbook and now they're just running their own game. mempool's getting too toxic anyway, predictability = alpha leakage and nobody's leaving money on the table like that anymore
Reply0
GateUser-1a2ed0b9vip
· 5h ago
Oh no, is the four-year cycle really gone? Then I need to change my previous holding strategy...
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-c802f0e8vip
· 5h ago
The cycle has been broken. What does that mean? We still need to look at the subsequent trend to make a judgment.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)