The fluctuations in the crypto market do not follow an absolute pattern, but influenced by capital flows, news sentiment, and trading time zones, there are obvious probabilistic characteristics. The following are structured time period patterns (ranked by trading activity):
1. Easy to Rise Periods
a. US East Coast Morning Session (Beijing Time 20:30 - 02:00 next day) When US stocks open and main capital (American institutions, market makers) are active, if US stocks perform well or positive news for crypto (ETF capital inflows, policy easing) is released, it can easily drive BTC and popular altcoins higher; MEME coins and small-cap coins often experience pulse-like surges during this period. Refer to Jin10 data: monitor the US stock three major index futures and crypto ETF capital flows; positive data will amplify the probability of upward movement.
b. Within 24 hours after major positive news Such as Federal Reserve rate cuts, easing crypto regulations, or announcements of upgrades/partnerships for leading projects. Market sentiment becomes temporarily euphoric, funds rush in, especially related coins lead the rally; it’s advisable to prepare in advance using Jin10’s financial calendar.
c. Weekend (Saturday - Sunday) Retail trading share increases, institutional intervention decreases, and funds tend to flow into MEME coins and small-cap altcoins; in low liquidity environments, small buy orders can push prices up, often resulting in “weekend meme coin rallies.”
2. Easy to Fall Periods
a. US East Coast End of Day + Asian Morning (Beijing Time 02:00 - 08:00) US funds exit, Asian markets are mainly retail-driven with weak support; if US stocks close sharply lower or overnight negative crypto news (regulatory crackdowns, large sell-offs) occurs, panic selling can be triggered; quantized stop-loss orders are triggered en masse, amplifying declines. Refer to Jin10 data: monitor large crypto transfers and exchange net outflows; abnormal outflows indicate risk of decline.
b. Within 12 hours after major negative news Such as tightening regulations, project collapses, hacking incidents. Market risk aversion increases, funds flow from high-risk altcoins to stablecoins; BTC leads the decline, most coins follow suit with weak rebounds.
c. End of month / End of quarter Institutions adjust positions and take profits, crypto market funds are withdrawn; derivative settlements (e.g., BTC options expiry) can cause sharp price volatility, with a higher probability of decline than rise.
3. Key Additional Notes
- These patterns do not apply during extreme market conditions (such as bull market main rallies or bear market crashes), when price movements are not time-dependent. - Jin10’s market sentiment index and capital flow monitoring are core tools for judging the timing of rises and falls, requiring real-time tracking.
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The fluctuations in the crypto market do not follow an absolute pattern, but influenced by capital flows, news sentiment, and trading time zones, there are obvious probabilistic characteristics. The following are structured time period patterns (ranked by trading activity):
1. Easy to Rise Periods
a. US East Coast Morning Session (Beijing Time 20:30 - 02:00 next day)
When US stocks open and main capital (American institutions, market makers) are active, if US stocks perform well or positive news for crypto (ETF capital inflows, policy easing) is released, it can easily drive BTC and popular altcoins higher; MEME coins and small-cap coins often experience pulse-like surges during this period.
Refer to Jin10 data: monitor the US stock three major index futures and crypto ETF capital flows; positive data will amplify the probability of upward movement.
b. Within 24 hours after major positive news
Such as Federal Reserve rate cuts, easing crypto regulations, or announcements of upgrades/partnerships for leading projects. Market sentiment becomes temporarily euphoric, funds rush in, especially related coins lead the rally; it’s advisable to prepare in advance using Jin10’s financial calendar.
c. Weekend (Saturday - Sunday)
Retail trading share increases, institutional intervention decreases, and funds tend to flow into MEME coins and small-cap altcoins; in low liquidity environments, small buy orders can push prices up, often resulting in “weekend meme coin rallies.”
2. Easy to Fall Periods
a. US East Coast End of Day + Asian Morning (Beijing Time 02:00 - 08:00)
US funds exit, Asian markets are mainly retail-driven with weak support; if US stocks close sharply lower or overnight negative crypto news (regulatory crackdowns, large sell-offs) occurs, panic selling can be triggered; quantized stop-loss orders are triggered en masse, amplifying declines.
Refer to Jin10 data: monitor large crypto transfers and exchange net outflows; abnormal outflows indicate risk of decline.
b. Within 12 hours after major negative news
Such as tightening regulations, project collapses, hacking incidents. Market risk aversion increases, funds flow from high-risk altcoins to stablecoins; BTC leads the decline, most coins follow suit with weak rebounds.
c. End of month / End of quarter
Institutions adjust positions and take profits, crypto market funds are withdrawn; derivative settlements (e.g., BTC options expiry) can cause sharp price volatility, with a higher probability of decline than rise.
3. Key Additional Notes
- These patterns do not apply during extreme market conditions (such as bull market main rallies or bear market crashes), when price movements are not time-dependent.
- Jin10’s market sentiment index and capital flow monitoring are core tools for judging the timing of rises and falls, requiring real-time tracking.