Bitcoin Reversal Countdown: Triple Negative Resonance, Bear Market Is on the Way!

Currently hovering around $87,000 with narrow fluctuations, this is not a rebound gathering strength but the final trap before the bear market begins! Those who mistakenly believe that sideways trading is a “low-risk entry window” completely ignore the market’s early warning signs of a crash—this reversal wave will only end with a downward break!

The core negative factors have already resonated: technical fundamentals have completely collapsed. Bitcoin has broken below the 365-day moving average for the first time since early 2022, and losing this “bull-bear dividing line” signifies a reversal of the long-term trend; the funding side is even worse, with spot ETF outflows of $1.08 billion in December, institutional investors dumping $443 million worth of Bitcoin in one week, turning former major buyers into major sellers; on-chain signals are even more brutal, with over 7 million Bitcoins in loss, and mature investors like “Dolphin Wallets” continuously reducing their holdings, mirroring the trend before the 2021 bear market.

My personal opinion is unequivocal: the $85,000 support is just a “paper-thin defense line.” Once it is effectively broken, the downward space could directly open to $70,000 or even $56,000 (realized price). The current sideways consolidation is merely a “smoke screen” for main capital to exit. The so-called “long-term institutional allocation demand” has long been exposed by ETF fund outflows and whale sell-offs. The crypto market in 2026 is destined to be dominated by bear market-driven value reversion. Waiting to buy now is equivalent to catching falling knives!