Tracking real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Thursday, January 1, 2026. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends ☀ die-hard fans check-in 👍 like and get rich 🍗🍗🌹🌹, A new beginning, Happy New Year! The new journey of 2026 begins. May everyone bid farewell to the old and welcome the new, bringing good fortune, with a long-lasting bullish market by your side. In the new year, I will be live in the studio throughout, helping everyone precisely capture opportunities, firmly grasp the wealth-creating trends, and work together to achieve rapid wealth and portfolio growth. Grateful for the past companionship, let's win together in the new year and unlock a new chapter of wealth!

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The US stock market closed 2025 with the Dow down 0.63%, marking the eighth consecutive month of gains, with an annual increase of 12.97%; the S&P 500 fell 0.74%, up 16.39% for the year; the Nasdaq declined 0.76%, up 20.36% annually, with the three major indices reaching new highs for three consecutive years. Tech stocks all closed lower, Oracle (ORCL.N) down 1.1%, Tesla (TSLA.O) nearly down 1.04%, Nvidia (NVDA.O) down 0.55%. According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”: the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 14.9%, with an 85.1% chance of holding rates steady. By March, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 51.7%, with a 42.5% chance of no change, and a 5.9% chance of a 50 basis point cut. Follow Yibo as he continues to track key signals such as the implementation of Fed policies, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, providing real-time updates on strategic layouts and target movements.

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The cryptocurrency market in 2025 experienced intense bull-bear shifts, with opportunities and challenges coexisting. Reviewing the year's trends and analyzing the current landscape are crucial for understanding future directions. In the first half of 2025, Bitcoin and Ethereum surged together, hitting new all-time highs successively. Market sentiment was high, funds flowed in, profit-taking effects were prominent, and various sub-sectors were active. By year-end, the market sharply reversed, returning to a bear market. Bitcoin stabilized around the 80,000 level, Ethereum retraced near 2,600, and the weakness of the two leading assets triggered market adjustments, with significant profit-taking and a shift from euphoria to cautious panic. Currently, the market is in a range-bound oscillation, which tests the residual momentum of the previous bull run, digesting trapped and profit-taking positions, and examining support and resistance levels; it is also a preparatory phase for a new bull market, with market reallocation and pattern reshaping underway.

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In the short term, the market remains in a testing phase with an unclear trend, but the larger-scale decline pattern persists. Technically, multiple attempts to test the mid-line resistance have failed, and the downside space has opened up. The bearish momentum remains strong, and a short-term decline is still possible, with a main trend of oscillating downward. The current environment poses significant challenges for participants, with increased volatility and uncertainty raising operational difficulty. It is not advisable to blindly chase gains or cut losses; rational observation, focusing on core assets, and controlling position risk are the best strategies. The 2025 crypto market has completed a prelude to the bull-bear switch, and the current oscillation is a continuation and deepening of the process. Although the short-term bearish decline will persist, oscillation is also a form of accumulation. After the shift in bullish and bearish forces, a new trend will begin, and investors need to carefully analyze the market fundamentals to seize opportunities.