#Strategy加码BTC配置 2026 Year Start Market Analysis

Happy New Year everyone. Today, let's focus on some key issues facing short-term trading.

From the daily chart, Bitcoin has been a bit stuck these days—the MA30 moving average at $8.9 has been a tough barrier to break through. The selling pressure above is quite fierce; every time it tries to rally, it gets pushed back down, with increasingly dense long upper shadows. Under this situation, the market is still oscillating within a range, and neither bulls nor bears have taken the initiative. Simply put, it's consolidating, waiting for signals.

The hourly chart is even more straightforward: the price has directly broken through the upper Bollinger Band and fallen below the lower band, entering an oversold area. Although there was a brief rebound in the middle, the momentum hasn't reversed, and the bearish trend still seems quite strong.

A special reminder: today the annual K-line, quarterly K-line, and monthly K-line are all closing, making this a sensitive time point. Volatility could be quite large. Everyone must strictly manage risk and avoid getting shaken out.

The short-term strategy is as follows:

Bitcoin: Around 88,000-89,000 can be considered for short positions, with targets around 85,000-84,500.

Ethereum: Short near 3000-3020, with targets around 2920-2880.