2025-12-30 19:22:33

The latest Federal Reserve December meeting minutes reveal several key signals.

This year, the US real GDP has maintained a moderate growth momentum, while the labor market has shown clear signs of cooling, which is an interesting contrast. Wage growth has remained roughly the same as the same period last year and has not shown the expected significant increase.

Looking at the specific quarterly performance: economic activity in the third quarter was decent, but when averaging the first three quarters, the growth rate remains moderate. In other words, the overall performance this year is still below the growth expectations for 2024 set at the beginning of the year.

The most noteworthy aspect here is the potential impact of a government shutdown. In the short term, this is very likely to exert a negative pull on GDP. For traders concerned with macroeconomic trends, these data directly influence the Federal Reserve's subsequent policy directions, thereby affecting the overall asset market expectations and pricing.

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wagmi_eventually

· 2025-12-31 11:42

The economic growth rate is just like this; it was obvious long ago. The government's shutdown was a brilliant move; they're just about to dump the market directly.

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NewDAOdreamer

· 2025-12-31 01:18

GDP is so weak that it still relies on interest rate cuts to stimulate the market; the Federal Reserve has really backed itself into a corner. Wages haven't increased, and labor is still cooling down; the Fed is playing this game a bit too hastily. Another government shutdown and more trouble? Then my holdings might be in for some turbulence. With such poor economic data, can we still see growth by the end of the year? It depends on how the Fed loosens its policies. Mild growth sounds good, but in reality, isn't it just a downward trend? How much will the Fed need to cut interest rates this time to turn things around? I bet five USDC that they will be even more dovish.

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PaperHandSister

· 2025-12-30 19:43

No salary increase, and now there's a shutdown? How can this GDP withstand it? I'm so worried.

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BearMarketBard

· 2025-12-30 19:32

Economic data falls short of expectations, and the government shutdown is still happening? Isn't this just handing the bears a knife? It was obvious to be bearish long ago.

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TestnetScholar

· 2025-12-30 19:28

The economic slowdown signals are so obvious, yet the Federal Reserve still has to keep playing the political game... The government would be even more disappointing if it shuts down.

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CafeMinor