2025-12-30 05:19:39

Recently, I took a look at the institutional attitudes towards Bitcoin next year, and something interesting happened—except for Bloomberg, which took a contrarian stance, all other institutions are quite optimistic. But the question is, what is Bloomberg's track record like?

Just look at their history. In 2018, when Bitcoin was around the $10,000 mark, Bloomberg confidently predicted it would drop to $1,500, but in reality, it only fell to $3,200. That's more than an order of magnitude off.

Then in 2021, Bloomberg turned around and became bullish again, predicting Bitcoin could surge to $400,000. And what happened? It rose to $69,000 before starting to adjust. Overestimating by nearly 6 times.

Now, for 2026, Bloomberg's latest forecast is a drop to $10,000. Honestly, looking at this track record, I have to admit I’m a bit skeptical about this prediction. The market is something you should listen to more than rely solely on one source’s judgment. No matter who predicts what, risk management should always come first.

BTC1,55%

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ContractHunter

· 01-01 10:58

Bloomberg's prediction level is really outrageous; even the contrarian indicators are not up to standard.

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OfflineNewbie

· 01-01 07:28

Bloomberg's performance is truly outstanding; even contrarian indicators are not enough to describe it.

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LiquidityHunter

· 2025-12-31 21:28

I saw Bloomberg's forecast again early this morning... This time $10,000. I directly looked at historical data. In 2018, it was undervalued by more than 6 times; in 2021, it was overvalued by 6 times. Now again? If this arbitrage opportunity truly exists, market efficiency should have already corrected it. To be honest, compared to trusting Bloomberg, I am more concerned about abnormal fluctuations in on-chain liquidity depth—that's the real signal.

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SchroedingersFrontrun

· 2025-12-30 05:42

Bloomberg's track record, can it really be trusted? --- Laughing to death, predicting 1 million USD again, I haven't woken up from the 400,000 dream yet --- This institution's prediction ability is really disappointing, better to trust your own judgment --- Use inverse indicators, Bloomberg says it will rise when it predicts a fall --- Institutional bickering, we still have to rely on ourselves to do your own research --- Always betting on the wrong direction, this time just follow the opposite side --- With such low prediction accuracy, why do people still listen to it? --- Risk management > listening to any institution's wild predictions --- 2018 at 1500, 2021 at 400,000, now 10,000... the logic is chaotic --- Instead of trusting predictions, it's better to trust the trend; the market is the most honest

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GweiTooHigh

· 2025-12-30 05:37

Bloomberg's record is hilarious, even the contrarian indicators aren't qualified.

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SleepyArbCat

· 2025-12-30 05:37

Bloomberg's track record, tsk tsk tsk... 2018 was off by an order of magnitude, in 2021 it was overestimated by 6 times, and now it's 10,000? I really can't fully trust this stuff...

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TokenToaster

· 2025-12-30 05:30

Bloomberg's record is really outstanding; even contrarian indicators aren't enough. --- Looking at predictions is not as good as following contrarian orders. When Bloomberg makes a move, I just go in the opposite direction. --- Haha, the more outrageous Bloomberg's predictions are, the more confident I feel. At least I know how to bet. --- So now Bloomberg is bearish. Should I listen to him or go against him... I'm torn. --- Six times overvaluation, everyone. This level of operation is truly excellent. I respect you as a real man. --- Stop hyping Bloomberg. Just look at this transcript—it's a joke. You can make money even by following the opposite trades. --- Risk management comes first. I've been listening to predictions for a year, and only now do I understand what that means.

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ForkInTheRoad

· 2025-12-30 05:24

I'm really laughing at Bloomberg's performance; even the contrarian indicators aren't worthy of being called contrarian indicators.

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