2025-12-26 09:00:43

#比特币与黄金战争 I just looked at some market data — the 28.5 billion dollar Bitcoin and altcoin options contracts have just settled. Various voices are signaling 'bullish signals,' and news headlines are uniformly optimistic. But honestly, my feeling is completely the opposite.

This settlement, I tend to interpret it as a 'trigger for the bears' rather than bullish fuel. The logic is simple:

Bitcoin is now stuck in the 90,000-90,500 range. If, after settlement, it can't break through this level, then all the 'bullish bias' narratives will seem very ironic. Once this support is broken, the bears will fully take control, with the next target directly at 86,500-85,000. If this support is also broken with high volume, it can be said that the current rebound structure has completely collapsed, and the downward momentum will accelerate rapidly.

The true trend never relies on a single event. Market movements driven by events often collapse once the event ends. The volatility of leading cryptocurrencies like $BTC, $ETH, and $BNB is especially noticeable.

My core judgment: this options settlement is more like a 'parting moment' for the bulls, rather than a new beginning. The next trading strategy is to stay alert to any false breakouts upward, while closely watching key support levels. Once broken, that will be the real entry signal for trend trading.

BTC0,18%

ETH-0,02%

BNB-0,42%

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MagicBean

· 5h ago

Whoa, I need to hear this logic. Spending 28.5 billion is actually a bearish signal? That's pretty intense.

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ZkProofPudding

· 5h ago

The end signal is written quite clearly, and I think it's reliable. If 90500 can't be broken, then it's really time to be bearish.

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ZKProofster

· 5h ago

nah honestly the euphoria around this expiry always gets me... 28.5B moving and suddenly everyone's a bull? technically speaking, the real signal's always in what *doesn't* happen right after. if we can't even breach 90.5k then yeah, the whole "bullish narrative" just collapses on itself lmao

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BlockTalk

· 6h ago

Huh, you think a delivery of 28.5 billion is enough to manipulate the market? That's too naive, buddy. Another wave of event-driven hype, if it can't break 90,000, just wait and watch the show. Event-driven rebounds are always fragile, they break at a poke. The "end of the bulls" moment, that phrase is spot on... it does have that feel. Only when the support level is broken is it a real signal; right now, it's all just fake breakouts.

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AirdropBlackHole

· 6h ago

28.5 billion poured in but didn't break through 90,500? This is the real signal. --- The term "shorts detonator" is brilliant. I also think that event-driven market movements are just so虚. --- Can 90,500 hold? If it breaks, we really need to watch 86,500. --- Every time a "bullish signal" appears, I become especially cautious. The套路 is too familiar. --- Keep a close eye on the key support level. It feels like this rebound is indeed a bit虚. --- When the event ends, it collapses. Very true—history always repeats itself. --- The analogy of the bulls dispersing is excellent. No wonder I always feel something's off. --- Waiting to see if 90,000 can stabilize; otherwise, it will really drop.

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