2025-12-26 08:30:33

#数字资产市场动态 $BTC

The Fed's policy move, the market's reaction was lightning fast!

According to the latest market trading data from the prediction platform, traders are now heavily betting on the Fed's January move—88% believe interest rates will stay unchanged, and only 11% see a 25 basis point cut. The total trading volume in this market has already exceeded $65 million—real money talking. ⚡️

Let’s be straightforward—what does this number mean?

First, is the story of "early rate cuts" completely over? The previously hot debate about a rate-cutting cycle has now been deflated. Behind this 88% probability of no change, there may be a reassessment of inflation or a new judgment on economic resilience.

Second, this isn’t retail investors messing around. What does a trading volume of over $65 million indicate? Institutions and smart money are hedging. They are betting that policies will tighten further and are preparing for a potential high-interest-rate environment.

This brings us back to the core question: if rate cuts are delayed further, will market liquidity face a new round of shocks? Are the current price swings in cryptocurrencies signaling a new trend or just another major reshuffle of expectations? $USD1

Interestingly, this wave of expectation restructuring happened very quickly. From "rate cuts imminent" to "hold steady," the speed of market sentiment shift is comparable to a crypto reversal. Have risk asset prices already digested this change? Or is the real test just beginning?

The key issue is this: policy uncertainty has now become the dominant force. Asking "Is the bear market still here?" might be the wrong question—what we should really ask is whether we have entered a new phase dominated by policy risk. $BIFI

Want to discuss in the comments? What do you think about this wave of bets? Is the market truly overly pessimistic, or are traders seriously pricing in risks?

BTC-1,41%

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token_therapist

· 8h ago

88% directly woke up the interest rate cut dream Liquidity is about to explode, the real test has just begun Waiting until January? Better to start buying early, the bottom is just like that Market sentiment switches too quickly, those who can't keep up are being left behind Policy uncertainty is dominant, this is what our current life looks like $65 million in trading volume shows that smart money has long seen through it The interest rate cut story is over, what's next? Is the era of high interest rates coming?

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CryptoPhoenix

· 8h ago

It's another day of being slapped in the face by policies, with 88% remaining unchanged... The story of interest rate cuts should indeed come to an end. But think about it, the real opportunity is born out of this uncertainty; rebirth is never comfortable. The sharper the decline, the more solid the bottom becomes. Patience will eventually reveal the dawn, and this time will be different! I understand this wave of institutional hedging. In a high-interest-rate environment, it's actually a good opportunity to build positions. Don't panic or be greedy; rebuilding your mindset is the key. It's another day of full-position faith. Energy is conserved, and the decline is gathering momentum. Let's wait for the moment to break through the cycle. Value return takes time, but the market's cruelest lessons often create the strongest traders. What we need is this kind of resolve.

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IronHeadMiner

· 8h ago

88% remains unchanged? Is this institution setting a trap for retail investors? The dream of lowering interest rates has been completely shattered; it was obvious all along. A $65 million hedge—I bet this round of coin prices will still experience another wave of volatility.

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Degen4Breakfast