#通货膨胀 The Fed's recent moves are quite interesting. Powell explicitly stated that inflation risks are tilted to the upside, Goolsbee prefers to wait for more data, and Schmidt believes monetary policy still needs to stay tight—essentially, there are internal disagreements on the path to rate cuts, and the market's "rate cut expectations" may need to be reassessed.

From a follow-trade perspective, this means volatility won't settle down. Recently, I’ve been reviewing the position adjustment logic of several top traders and found that those who consistently generate profits are prepared for this uncertainty—they keep both long positions and relatively aggressive stop-losses. The key is that their risk allocation is very detailed; they don’t go all-in on a single direction.

If you're copying trades, now is a good time to see how the traders you're following are responding. Some are still betting that inflation will fall quickly, while others have already started reducing their positions. The former might get hurt if the data doesn’t cooperate, while the latter might miss out on a rally but has a higher probability of capital preservation. Those with higher risk appetite can follow aggressive traders, but they should set proper stop-losses; conservative traders might prefer those who prioritize avoiding large drawdowns over small gains—the true return rate can only be evaluated over a longer cycle.

Variables like tariffs, AI, and employment data are still changing, and market pricing is far from stable. Focus on risk control, observation, and wait for opportunities.