The strongest network-level warning! A $236 billion option is the largest in history and is due tomorrow, and this time retail investors are likely to face a bloody massacre!

This time, retail investors are likely to be fully harvested! A $236 billion option, the largest in history, will officially end after tomorrow afternoon. We reviewed five options exceeding $50 billion that expired over the past three years and concluded a strict rule: the price drops before expiration, peaks at the expiration time, then technically rebounds afterward. But reality is harsher: 90% of retail investors who gamble on random buying suffer precise losses, and 80% of those who sell out of fear and close their positions miss the next rebound after the price drops. In the current weak market, the harvesting process by the market will become more brutal and comprehensive!
Why is this options expiration inevitably a day of slaughter for retail investors?
First, we must face a harsh truth: options expiration is not an opportunity, but a clear harvest day! There will be no absolute rise or fall, but the market will experience short-term volatility reaching extremes, and the price will be forcibly stabilized around the main strike price, with crazy pressure on buy and sell positions, forced rebalancing, and ultimately, most retail investors will not survive the harvest.
Looking at September 27, 2024, when a $110 billion option expired, Bitcoin sharply dropped from 64,500 to 62,870, then after 24 hours, it returned to 65,000, with over 8% volatility within 72 hours, and about 90,000 contracts collapsed across the network, killing both buying and selling sides.
Now, with the expiration of a $236 billion option, there are deadly signals in the data: maximum pain point at 96,000, only 0.38 bearish expectation ratio, and buy positions 2.6 times higher than sell positions! The core message of this data is: retail investors in the market expect a strong rise and feel highly confident in the bullish trend.
The logic of market harvesting by traders never changes: before options expiration, they will push the price precisely to around 96,000 at any cost. If the price stabilizes at this level at settlement, 97% of call options will be canceled, and collective buyers will go bankrupt and exit the market; meanwhile, sellers will fear a sharp breakout and close their positions, and traders will make huge profits. This is the clear harvesting process!
The only survival strategy for everyone: do nothing before expiration, stay neutral steadily!
On the big options expiration day, before settlement, just watch the market and do not enter; every position opening is a gamble. After settlement, once the market direction is fully clear, you can choose the right time to place orders. If in doubt, the only option is to stay out of the market!
Finally, I issue a warning to everyone: with the largest options in history exceeding $200 billion expiring, there are two ways to die in the market: reckless buying, suffering precise cuts, losses, and exiting; or selling out of fear, cutting losses at the bottom, then missing the rebound afterward.
Remember this phrase: on options expiration day, it’s not the time to bet on the trend, but the time to manage risk. Live until Friday, as all opportunities are in the coming week!
Join the captain, avoid options harvesting traps, seize the precise opportunities after expiration, scan the code to enter the chat room, focus on stable arrangements, and do not gamble recklessly!$BTC