To be honest, losing money on trades recently is really not just your problem. I checked the USDT lying in the exchange, and the losses add up to almost the price of a luxury car😅
But have you noticed that the RMB has been appreciating particularly fast lately? The underlying reason is actually quite interesting.
The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times this year, with a total reduction of 75 basis points. To compare, here on our side, we only cut interest rates once in May, with a margin of only 10 basis points. The difference in magnitude is obvious.
As the pressure for US dollar interest rate hikes eases and domestic policy space remains relatively loose, this directly boosts the RMB's appreciation expectations. Simply put, when the US dollar weakens, the RMB naturally strengthens. Behind this exchange rate movement, there is actually a mismatch in the monetary policy rhythms of the two major economies—one is releasing liquidity, while the other is cautiously adjusting. This also explains why holding USDT results in unrealized losses, because relative to RMB valuation, US dollar assets are depreciating.
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PessimisticOracle
· 4h ago
Sigh, this round of RMB appreciation is really fierce. My USDT account is even in the red... The Federal Reserve is flooding the market crazily, while we are still conservative. No wonder the dollar is depreciating.
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TokenTaxonomist
· 12h ago
wait so let me pull up my spreadsheet here... 75bps vs 10bps? data suggests the fed actually knows what it's doing unlike our side lmao. classic policy divergence creating evolutionary dead-ends for stablecoin holders tbh
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MetaMaximalist
· 12-25 13:18
honestly the fed doing heavy lifting while pboc playing it conservative is textbook policy divergence... but let's be real, most people holding usdt bags don't even grasp the macro mechanics here. it's always just "why am i bleeding" instead of understanding adoption curves and network effects across monetary regimes, ngl
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ApeWithAPlan
· 12-25 13:17
The recent appreciation of the RMB was really well done, but my USDT is also suffering...
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AirdropHunter9000
· 12-25 13:15
The RMB is appreciating so rapidly, everyone holding USDT is bleeding, should have switched earlier.
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SchrodingerGas
· 12-25 13:05
Ah... The Federal Reserve cut 75 basis points in one go, while we only cut 10 basis points here. Isn't this just a blatant arbitrage opportunity? Holding USDT is essentially shorting the dollar, it's just that most people haven't realized it.
To be honest, losing money on trades recently is really not just your problem. I checked the USDT lying in the exchange, and the losses add up to almost the price of a luxury car😅
But have you noticed that the RMB has been appreciating particularly fast lately? The underlying reason is actually quite interesting.
The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times this year, with a total reduction of 75 basis points. To compare, here on our side, we only cut interest rates once in May, with a margin of only 10 basis points. The difference in magnitude is obvious.
As the pressure for US dollar interest rate hikes eases and domestic policy space remains relatively loose, this directly boosts the RMB's appreciation expectations. Simply put, when the US dollar weakens, the RMB naturally strengthens. Behind this exchange rate movement, there is actually a mismatch in the monetary policy rhythms of the two major economies—one is releasing liquidity, while the other is cautiously adjusting. This also explains why holding USDT results in unrealized losses, because relative to RMB valuation, US dollar assets are depreciating.