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The end of the trick in Washington: how the shutdown will affect investors' wallets?
The seventeen-day government shutdown is coming to an end. The Senate has already voted to restore funding, and the House of Representatives is set to confirm it on November 12. After approval, the document will go to Trump’s desk, who has announced that "the deal is very good." If everything goes smoothly, there will be a symbolic moment first – the end of political chaos. But for the markets, this could mean much more.
**History shows a clear pattern**
When the shutdown ends, Wall Street almost always celebrates. Historical data does not lie:
- 2013 (14-day break): S&P 500 increased by 4.5% over the next month
- 2019 (35-day record): growth of 5.1%
- 1995–96 (21 days): increase of 4%
The pattern is simple – investors know that chaos passes, uncertainty disperses, and the economy can finally breathe normally.
**What will change in practice?**
When the administration resumes work, a series of things will be able to get moving. Federal agencies can finally process new contracts. Government employees will receive overdue payments. Large companies that froze infrastructure projects will resume investments. Consumers who were waiting with significant purchasing decisions may return to spending. All of this creates a situation where political noise gives way to tangible, microeconomic events.
Cryptocurrency markets, especially holders of BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, and ZEC, traditionally react positively to reduced macroeconomic uncertainty. Low political volatility = increased risk appetite.
**But this is not the end of the story**
Reality is more complex than it sometimes appears. In January, we will face another deadline for budget agreement. The economy has already suffered losses – some orders will never be placed, some transactions have been postponed, and workers have lost part of their income, which they will not recover. This is not a typical damage that can simply be undone.
So, although markets will find relief, investors know that this may be just a breath of air in a longer period of political turbulence.