Bear market? You probably can't even imagine how bad it could get right now.

According to the four-year halving cycle pattern, the bottom of this Bitcoin cycle is most likely to appear around October 2026. By then, the fear index will probably drop to around 10, and the price? I think it will fall in the $30,000 to $60,000 range, with a personal preference for the $30,000-$40,000 level. But then again, $30,000 should be a solid bottom—after all, in the last bull market, the price only stopped bleeding after a 77% drop from the peak. This time, the top is at $126,200, so by the same ratio, it's unlikely to break below $30,000.

So don't panic. $69,000 definitely won't hold—that was the ceiling of the last bull market, and breaking below it is almost inevitable. If it really drops to $30,000-$40,000? That's the time to go all in with your eyes closed. Hold until 2029, target price $150,000-$250,000, which means there's still 5-6x potential upside. Think about it, how many assets out there can 5x in four years? And with Web3, you can even leverage up.