#DecemberMarketOutlook

Bitcoin has entered a critical transition phase, where momentum is slowing and the market is beginning to show early signs of exhaustion after weeks of strong upside movement. The structure is still holding, but the loss of acceleration indicates that BTC may be preparing for a deeper corrective wave.

📉 Market Structure Turning Soft

BTC recently tested the $94,189 zone, but the breakout attempt failed as sellers stepped in immediately.
The resulting pullback toward $92,303 has formed lower intraday lows—clear evidence that buyers are gradually losing dominance.

This isn’t a bearish reversal yet, but it is the classic cooling stage that often appears before a broader retracement.

🔑 Critical Support Zone: $90,900

This level is now the market’s decision line:

Holding above $90,900 → BTC remains stable inside the current range.

Breaking below $90,900 → Direction shifts toward deeper correction.

If price loses this level, the next downside areas come into focus:

$90,140 — Bollinger Middle Band

$87,000 — High-liquidity demand zone

$84,073 — Lower Bollinger Band

A daily close below the mid-band typically leads to sharp volatility expansion, usually to the downside.

📊 Indicators Confirm Weakening Strength

MACD remains firmly negative → bearish pressure gaining traction

RSI (6) at 57 but turning down → trend strength fading

Bollinger Bands compressing → a large move is being prepared

These signals collectively show that BTC’s upward force is losing consistency.

📉 Volume Analysis

Trading volume has dropped to 9.92K, well below the 5-day average of 12.68K.
This decline reflects lack of buyer conviction and gives sellers more control.

Low volume during consolidation often precedes decisive breakouts, and when momentum is fading, the breakout usually favors the downside.

📌 Two Scenarios Ahead

1️⃣ Bullish Continuation (Possible but Needs Volume)

BTC must:

Hold $90.9K, and

Break $94.2K with strong volume

Only then targets at $96K–$98K become achievable.
Without strong participation from buyers, upside attempts will keep failing.

2️⃣ Bearish Correction (Currently More Likely)

A breakdown below:

$90,900 and

$90,140

would confirm a broader pullback.
Downside targets then extend to $87K → $84K, supported by historical liquidity and demand.

🧭 Final Outlook

Bitcoin has entered a decision zone where every move carries weight.
The trend is not bearish yet, but the market is showing vulnerability as buying power weakens.

The next major direction depends on:

Whether $90,900 holds

Whether $94,200 breaks

Whether volume finally expands

Trade with discipline.
This is structural analysis, not financial advice.

$BTC