#比特币对比代币化黄金 The 4-hour timeframe has already formed a clear downtrend—with consecutive lower lows and lower highs. The price recently broke below the key demand zone around 1.795, which is now very likely to turn into a resistance level.

This current rebound? In fact, it’s just a minor pullback within the larger trend, giving us a good shorting opportunity.

The trigger signal should be observed on lower timeframes. On the 1-hour or 15-minute chart, this rebound will push the RSI up towards the 50 midline from below. If it faces resistance and falls back at the 50 level, it indicates that bullish momentum is fading and bearish pressure is regaining dominance. At the same time, the price is likely testing key hourly moving averages (such as the 21 or 50 EMA) as dynamic resistance.

Why is entering now high probability? Because we are trading in line with the strong 4-hour bearish structure, shorting this weak rebound at the resistance area, rather than chasing breakdowns blindly. This not only gives us a clear stop-loss level, but also provides an attractive risk-reward ratio.

Trading Plan (Short):
Entry: Market price at 1.682
Target 1: 1.578
Target 2: 1.474
Stop-loss: 1.751

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