2025-12-06 02:41:19

#美联储重启降息步伐 In December, two knives are hanging overhead.

One offers a sweet deal, the other cuts deep. The market is about to be torn apart by these two forces.

What’s going on?

On the Fed’s side, expectations of a rate cut have been heating up, and the probability of it happening in December is pretty high. The market has already started pricing this in.

But looking over at the Bank of Japan, the signals for a rate hike are getting stronger. The governor’s statements make it clear—it’s not just talk.

That’s awkward—one side is loosening, the other is tightening. The directions are completely opposite.

Normally, a rate cut means liquidity is easing, more money is available, and that’s naturally good for the market. But a rate hike? The arbitrage funds will pull out, selling pressure will rise, and crypto prices could take a hit.

So what’s the problem? We’re in a weak market right now.

In a weak market, positive news often doesn’t help much, but negative news can strike hard. That’s why you need to watch out for the “knife” from Japan—if they really do hike rates, funds could flow back to the yen, and the chances of crypto prices testing new lows are pretty high.

At this critical moment, don’t go all in on impulse, and don’t get blinded by a few green candles.

Wait until both shoes drop, then decide on your direction.

Surviving now is worth more than guessing the right direction.

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LiquidationWatcher

· 2h ago

In a weak market, even if the Fed injects liquidity, it won't help; Japan raising interest rates is the real knife. We have to wait for both shoes to drop.

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LiquidatorFlash

· 2h ago

A rate cut can't save a weak market, but Japan's rate hike is the real knife. Keep a close eye on liquidation risk thresholds.

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BlockchainArchaeologist

· 2h ago

The Bank of Japan's move was really fierce. In a weak market, the bearish blow was precise and ruthless. Anyone who went all-in needs to rethink their strategy.

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ForkThisDAO

· 2h ago

Japan's rate hike is much more damaging than the small benefit from the Fed's rate cut. That's how a weak market is—any negative news immediately draws blood. --- Everyone was talking about rate cuts, but then Japan suddenly raises rates. This market is really hard to figure out. --- Don't be fooled by those few rebound candlesticks. Wait until the dust settles. Going all in now is just asking for trouble. --- The article is right. In a weak market, any good news is just a facade. With Japan actually raising rates, how could crypto prices possibly go up? --- Both knives are swinging at the same time—let's see which one strikes first. You still need to keep your money safe and liquid.

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governance_lurker