The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds has recently climbed to 1.948%, setting a new record since 2007. Even more dramatic is the 30-year bond—while the yield has soared to 3.44%, the bond's market value has already evaporated by nearly half. The yield on the 40-year bond has even broken through the 3.70% mark.



Behind this lies an even bigger problem: for the first time since 2008, the Bank of Japan's interest expenses have exceeded its income. The four major life insurance companies are sitting on $67 billion in unrealized losses from domestic bonds, and by the end of September, local banks had reached a record peak of $21.3 billion in paper losses.

What's the root cause? The Japanese government's debt has swelled to 230% of GDP, and inflation continues to climb. The market is betting on an 80% probability of a rate hike by the central bank in December, but ironically, the central bank holds 52% of all government bonds—making it nearly impossible to sell them off.

For the past thirty years, global investors have grown accustomed to using cheap yen to fuel asset bubbles. Now that this money-printing machine is about to shut down, how intense will the chain reaction be? The answer may be even more dramatic than we imagine.
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MetaMisfitvip
· 16h ago
This round of the bond crisis in Japan is truly extreme. The central bank dug its own hole and now can't get out of it. This is the consequence of long-term monetary easing.
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GasFeeGazervip
· 16h ago
This round of bond crashes in Japan is truly extreme. The central bank is trapped by its own debt, and raising interest rates can't save it.
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tx_pending_forevervip
· 16h ago
The Bank of Japan has been held hostage by its own bonds; it wants to raise interest rates but doesn't dare to. I'm all too familiar with this scenario.
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WalletsWatchervip
· 16h ago
Japan really dug its own hole this time. The central bank is stuck with bonds but still has to pretend to stay calm—hilarious.
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ChainMaskedRidervip
· 16h ago
The Bank of Japan holds 52% of the bonds but can't sell them—this is the real "vicious cycle"... As expected, there are no special countries when it comes to inflation.
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OnchainDetectivevip
· 16h ago
Japan has really gone too far this time. The central bank has been trapped by its own bonds... The feeling of despair from being unable to sell them must be overwhelming.
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GasFeeNightmarevip
· 16h ago
Damn, has the Bank of Japan trapped itself with its own bonds? It can’t get rid of 52% of government bonds at all—this is basically shooting itself in the foot...
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