BTC just printed its deepest correction since this run started. Question is—are we watching a textbook pullback before the next leg up, or something messier?
Time-wise, the 4-year cycle thesis still checks out. Almost eerie how well it's held. But when you zoom into price action? That's where things get interesting. The cycle might be alive in terms of timing, yet the magnitude of moves tells a different story. Could be we're seeing structural shifts that old models won't capture.
Either way, this drop is a stress test. Bulls need to reclaim momentum fast, or that "larger uptrend" narrative starts looking shaky.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
6 Likes
Reward
6
5
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
NFT_Therapy_Group
· 4h ago
The 4-year cycle theory is starting to sound more and more like "survivorship bias"... Every time the market drops, it's called a correction; when it goes up, they say the cycle is validated—a perfect case of hindsight bias.
View OriginalReply0
MetaMaskVictim
· 4h ago
Damn, the 4-year cycle really wasn’t a lie, but this time the volatility is definitely weird. Feels like the market is quietly changing the script.
View OriginalReply0
ApeDegen
· 4h ago
Holding on for the 4-year cycle this long is really impressive, but looking at the trend's range... it feels a bit off.
View OriginalReply0
PoolJumper
· 4h ago
The 4-year cycle isn't dead yet; it all depends on whether this wave can hold steady. Otherwise, all the talk about a "structural bull market" for so long will just become a joke.
View OriginalReply0
ReverseFOMOguy
· 4h ago
This time it really is a gamble on whether the 4-year cycle still works. Honestly, I'm a bit nervous.
BTC just printed its deepest correction since this run started. Question is—are we watching a textbook pullback before the next leg up, or something messier?
Time-wise, the 4-year cycle thesis still checks out. Almost eerie how well it's held. But when you zoom into price action? That's where things get interesting. The cycle might be alive in terms of timing, yet the magnitude of moves tells a different story. Could be we're seeing structural shifts that old models won't capture.
Either way, this drop is a stress test. Bulls need to reclaim momentum fast, or that "larger uptrend" narrative starts looking shaky.