Recently, while organizing my trading notes, I suddenly realized that the system I've developed over the years can actually be broken down into 7 modules—in all honesty, everyone who truly makes money in the market has their own unique approach.

Let’s start with market analysis. On the macro level, you must keep a close eye on interest rate trends and CPI data, as these directly influence capital flows. On the micro level, pay attention to supply and demand—for example, a sudden surge in the circulating supply of a certain coin, or when a project team starts buybacks. You need to be sensitive to these signals. Don’t overlook black swan events, either; geopolitical tensions or sudden policy changes in a particular country can instantly reverse the market trend. Here’s another tip: watch the correlated markets—if the US stock tech sector drops, the crypto market is likely to suffer as well.

For technical analysis, I personally like to use moving average systems combined with trendlines to define the direction. There are patterns hidden in price movements—classic formations like head and shoulders or triangle breakouts often signal entry points. I use MACD to confirm trend strength, RSI to determine if I’m chasing the price too high, and when Bollinger Bands contract, it usually signals a big move coming. Volume is also key—a breakout with strong volume is reliable, while a low-volume rally is often a bull trap.

Regarding strategy design: timing your entry is crucial. For example, if a coin breaks through a key resistance level and on-chain data shows whales accumulating, that’s when you can consider building a position. For intraday trading, I watch the 5-minute candlestick chart; for swing trades, I look at the 4-hour or daily chart.

Exiting is even more important—when taking profit, I typically set a risk-reward ratio of 1:3, or use a trailing stop to lock in profits. (Content to be continued)