After three consecutive days of decline, that strong bullish candle finally appeared last night.



A lot of people are asking how I judged this. To be honest, it was the combination of technicals and sentiment—both resonating—that signaled the market was due for a rebound. But how far can this rebound go? Next week is the real key.

My view is: the overall rhythm will still be a pullback first, followed by a counterattack.

How will it play out specifically? It depends on whether there’s any major news over the weekend. Right now, there are two possible scenarios:

**Scenario 1: Sudden Positive News Over the Weekend**
On Monday and Tuesday, the market might directly pull back to fill that gap and won’t keep pushing higher. After the gap is filled, there will still need to be some adjustment. I expect the market to truly bottom out around Wednesday or Thursday, with a rally starting in the second half of the week. This scenario requires some substantial positive news over the weekend as a catalyst.

**Scenario 2: Flat News Over the Weekend**
On Monday, there’s a high probability of a spike followed by a pullback, without immediately filling the gap. Then the market will keep consolidating, likely bottoming out around December 9th. Why this date? Because on December 10th, the Fed will announce its December policy decision, and there’s a high chance of some policy signals being released, so the market will start pricing in expectations early.

If it’s the second scenario, then the rebound in the second half of the week will be even stronger, possibly filling the upper gap in one go.

Personally, I lean toward the second scenario. Monday’s spike is likely a bull trap, and the real opportunity will come in the second half of the week. The gap won’t be filled that quickly—it’ll have to wait until market sentiment is fully repaired.

Don’t rush your trades—wait for the rhythm to play out.
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Rekt_Recoveryvip
· 7h ago
ngl, the whole "wait for the rhythm to show" thing hits different after you've been liquidated twice lmao. scenario two feels like cope but also... yeah, probably right. fed days always hit different, market knows what's coming.
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All-InQueenvip
· 7h ago
Bull trapping is a common tactic; the real story will unfold on Monday. I'm also betting on the second scenario.
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Degentlemanvip
· 7h ago
Is it a bull trap or a real rebound? We'll see the truth on Monday—let's patiently wait for the result.
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CryptoTarotReadervip
· 7h ago
Sigh, it's the same old technical analysis + sentiment argument... The real game-changer is the weekend news.
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TokenDustCollectorvip
· 7h ago
This bull trap tactic is really brilliant. See you on Monday, we'll talk then.
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CryptoFortuneTellervip
· 7h ago
That bull trap routine—Monday will reveal the truth, don't get rekt.
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