#数字货币市场洞察 The USDT to RMB exchange rate has fallen below the 7.0 mark, and the market is seeing polarized opinions.



Newcomers see this as a panic signal—has the stablecoin's peg begun to loosen? But seasoned traders have a completely different perspective. They’ve noticed two events happening simultaneously: the probability of a Fed rate cut has risen to 87%, signaling that global liquidity is about to enter an easing cycle; meanwhile, regulation targeting gray capital channels is accelerating the market’s cleansing process.

Interestingly, before every bull market begins, the market always goes through similar dramatic swings. When speculative funds are squeezed out, real demand finally surfaces.

The current question is: the overall trend of a weakening dollar is clear, and market cleansing is nearing its end. Some veteran players are even starting to calculate arbitrage opportunities—if the exchange rate returns to a normal range, building positions at current low levels could yield more than 10% in price difference.

What does this volatility really mean? Is it a sign of systemic risk, or a signal of a cyclical shift? Different cognitive frameworks lead to entirely different trading strategies. As a flood of liquidity meets a cleansed market, the decision-making window is shrinking.

What’s your take on this volatility? Will you choose to wait and see, or look for opportunities amid the swings?$ETH $DOGE $ASTER
ETH-4.35%
DOGE-5.35%
ASTER-4.43%
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AirdropATMvip
· 12h ago
Haha, it's the same old rhetoric again. I've heard the "cleansing theory" on the eve of a bull market eight hundred times already.
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WalletAnxietyPatientvip
· 12h ago
Breaking 7.0 is a fake dip. You'll see when the Fed actually cuts rates. The guys buying the dip now are the happiest.
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LiquidityLarryvip
· 12h ago
Bro, this is really just a show of old bagholders dumping on the new ones. I've seen this market wash-out trick way too many times. --- Rate cuts again, more liquidations, the tricks run deep. I think I'll just stay on the sidelines for now. --- Building a position at the bottom? Sounds easy, but I'm worried the liquidity flood will never come. --- Even stablecoins are getting shaky. Still talking about being pegged? What a joke. --- 87% probability of a rate cut? I've heard too many of these probabilities before, and nothing ever happens in the end. --- By the time real demand surfaces, all the bargains will be gone. This is just a setup. --- 10% arbitrage sounds great, but who can be sure when the exchange rate will return to normal? --- I'm a little tempted, but still chickening out. I'll wait and see. --- They always say volatility is necessary before a bull market, but if it really drops below 7.0 this time, that's more than just volatility. --- Market washout almost over? Why do I feel like it's just getting started? This logic seems a bit shaky.
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CascadingDipBuyervip
· 12h ago
Breaking 7 is really a buying opportunity. I bought in during the last wave of panic, and now it's happening again? Honestly, I trust that 87% probability from the Fed. Clearing out the gray channel is actually a good thing—the real opportunity comes after the market is cleaned out.
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